Price
$0.06
0.09 HUNT_COIN
Advertised RTP
89.83%
EV $0.05 from 3 items
Observed RTP, 30d
89.32%
5,080 openings, odds method
Variance
2.9×
of price², per opening
Tail share
10.8%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
89.2%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values3 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 5,080 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M4A1-S | Emphorosaur-S (Battle-Scarred)weapon · restricted | 10.8% | $0.33 0.52 HUNT_COIN | 69.3% | 541 | 547.1 | 0.99× |
| Sticker | Apekssticker | 35.0% | $0.03 0.04 HUNT_COIN | 17.3% | 1,813 | 1778.0 | 1.02× |
| P250 | Sand Dune (Field-Tested)weapon · consumer | 54.2% | $0.01 0.02 HUNT_COIN | 13.4% | 2,726 | 2754.9 | 0.99× |
Values are Hunt.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
hunt:api/cases, 11 Nov, 08:06 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 89.83%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $0.06 | 89.83% | 3 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedrestricted 10.8%other 35.0%consumer 54.2%best hit —