1% Ak Dream
A case on Hunt.gg (Community), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Hunt.gg's own item price converted from hunt coin at the rate on the site page.
Price
$1.39
2.19 HUNT_COIN
Advertised RTP
87.45%
EV $1.22 from 7 items
Observed RTP, 30d
80.49%
1,071 openings, odds method
Variance
106.1×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 250
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
99.0%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Small sample. 1,071 openings and 4.3 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values7 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 1,071 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| StatTrak™ AK-47 | Bloodsport (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · covert | 1 in 2,000 | $408 643 HUNT_COIN | 16.8% | 1 | 0.5 | — |
| Souvenir AK-47 | Panthera onca (Minimal Wear)Souvenir · weapon · Legendary | 1 in 667 | $208 328 HUNT_COIN | 25.7% | 1 | 1.6 | 0.62× |
| AK-47 | Aquamarine Revenge (Factory New)weapon · covert | 1 in 500 | $126 199 HUNT_COIN | 20.8% | 2 | 2.1 | 0.93× |
| AK-47 | Neon Revolution (Factory New)weapon · covert | 1 in 500 | $86.92 137 HUNT_COIN | 14.3% | 2 | 2.1 | 0.93× |
| AK-47 | Red Laminate (Field-Tested)weapon · classified | 1 in 500 | $60.97 96.03 HUNT_COIN | 10.0% | 0 | 2.1 | 0.00× |
| AK-47 | Neon Rider (Well-Worn)weapon · covert | 1 in 500 | $44.25 69.7 HUNT_COIN | 7.3% | 2 | 2.1 | 0.93× |
| AK-47 | Safari Mesh (Battle-Scarred)weapon · #87c7ff | 99.0% | $0.06 0.1 HUNT_COIN | 5.2% | 1,063 | 1060.3 | 1.00× |
Values are Hunt.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
hunt:api/cases, 12 Nov, 02:06 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Bloodsport (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · covert$1.392.19 HUNT_COIN$408643 HUNT_COIN293.5x
Souvenir AK-47 | Panthera onca (Minimal Wear)Souvenir · weapon · Legendary$1.392.19 HUNT_COIN$208328 HUNT_COIN149.7x
AK-47 | Aquamarine Revenge (Factory New)weapon · covertPUTO COCAINA$1.392.19 HUNT_COIN$126199 HUNT_COIN90.80x
AK-47 | Aquamarine Revenge (Factory New)weapon · covertMacieja$1.392.19 HUNT_COIN$126199 HUNT_COIN90.80x
Latest dropsnewest first
AK-47 | Safari Mesh (Battle-Scarred)weapon · #87c7ffd1sab1ed$1.392.19 HUNT_COIN$0.060.1 HUNT_COIN0.05x
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 87.45%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $1.39 | 87.45% | 7 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedcovert 0.7%Legendary 0.1%classified 0.2%#87c7ff 99.0%best hit $408 (293.5x)