easy profit
A case on Hunt.gg (Community), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Hunt.gg's own item price converted from hunt coin at the rate on the site page.
Price
$0.03
0.05 HUNT_COIN
Advertised RTP
83.49%
EV $0.03 from 8 items
Observed RTP, 30d
85.77%
6,905 openings, odds method
Variance
66.2×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 11
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
91.0%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values8 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 6,905 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zeus x27 | Dragon Snore (Field-Tested)weapon · #d32ce6 | 1 in 10,000 | $20.67 32.56 HUNT_COIN | 7.8% | 1 | 0.7 | — |
| Glock-18 | Water Elemental (Factory New)weapon · classified | 1 in 10,000 | $12.08 19.03 HUNT_COIN | 4.6% | 1 | 0.7 | — |
| R8 Revolver | Blaze (Factory New)weapon · blue | 1 in 435 | $1.89 2.98 HUNT_COIN | 16.4% | 13 | 15.9 | 0.82× |
| StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Oxide Blaze (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · mil spec | 1 in 385 | $0.73 1.15 HUNT_COIN | 7.2% | 19 | 18.0 | 1.06× |
| StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Morris (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · milspec | 1 in 100 | $0.10 0.15 HUNT_COIN | 3.6% | 58 | 69.0 | 0.84× |
| P90 | Freight (Field-Tested)weapon · #4b69ff | 1 in 13 | $0.04 0.07 HUNT_COIN | 12.6% | 537 | 517.2 | 1.04× |
| Souvenir P90 | Verdant Growth (Minimal Wear)Souvenir · weapon · Industrial Grade | 1 in 11 | $0.03 0.04 HUNT_COIN | 8.6% | 607 | 621.4 | 0.98× |
| Sticker | Virtus.prosticker | 82.0% | $0.01 0.02 HUNT_COIN | 39.3% | 5,669 | 5662.1 | 1.00× |
Values are Hunt.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
hunt:api/cases, 10 Nov, 08:05 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
Souvenir P90 | Verdant Growth (Minimal Wear)Souvenir · weapon · Industrial Grade$0.030.05 HUNT_COIN$0.030.04 HUNT_COIN0.80x
Souvenir P90 | Verdant Growth (Minimal Wear)Souvenir · weapon · Industrial Grade$0.030.05 HUNT_COIN$0.030.04 HUNT_COIN0.80x
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 83.49%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $0.03 | 83.49% | 8 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listed#d32ce6 0.0%classified 0.0%blue 0.2%mil spec 0.3%milspec 1.0%#4b69ff 7.5%Industrial Grade 9.0%other 82.0%best hit —