Ez profit
A case on Hunt.gg (Community), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Hunt.gg's own item price converted from hunt coin at the rate on the site page.
Price
$0.06
0.09 HUNT_COIN
Advertised RTP
81.34%
EV $0.05 from 8 items
Observed RTP, 30d
86.63%
1,162 openings, odds method
Variance
141.6×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 333
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
98.0%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Small sample. 1,162 openings and 3.5 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values8 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 1,162 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Desert Eagle | Printstream (Field-Tested)weapon · Ancient | 1 in 3,333 | $31.61 49.78 HUNT_COIN | 20.4% | 1 | 0.3 | — |
| AK-47 | The Outsiders (Minimal Wear)weapon · Legendary | 1 in 833 | $11.32 17.83 HUNT_COIN | 29.2% | 0 | 1.4 | 0.00× |
| R8 Revolver | Blaze (Factory New)weapon · blue | 1 in 667 | $1.89 2.98 HUNT_COIN | 6.1% | 3 | 1.7 | 1.72× |
| Glock-18 | Moonrise (Factory New)weapon · restricted | 1 in 500 | $1.61 2.53 HUNT_COIN | 6.9% | 0 | 2.3 | 0.00× |
| SSG 08 | Dezastre (Field-Tested)weapon · #4b69ff | 1 in 67 | $0.08 0.13 HUNT_COIN | 2.7% | 24 | 17.4 | 1.38× |
| P90 | Straight Dimes (Battle-Scarred)weapon · #5e98d9 | 1 in 13 | $0.04 0.07 HUNT_COIN | 7.6% | 84 | 93.0 | 0.90× |
| Sticker | TV On Miragesticker · high | 1 in 11 | $0.03 0.04 HUNT_COIN | 4.9% | 94 | 104.6 | 0.90× |
| Sticker | Virtus.Pro (Holo)sticker | 81.0% | $0.01 0.02 HUNT_COIN | 22.1% | 956 | 941.2 | 1.02× |
Values are Hunt.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
hunt:api/cases, 10 Nov, 08:05 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 81.34%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $0.06 | 81.34% | 8 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedAncient 0.0%Legendary 0.1%blue 0.1%restricted 0.2%#4b69ff 1.5%#5e98d9 8.0%high 9.0%other 81.0%best hit —