EZ Profit
A case on Hunt.gg (Community), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Hunt.gg's own item price converted from hunt coin at the rate on the site page.
Price
$0.36
0.57 HUNT_COIN
Advertised RTP
87.37%
EV $0.32 from 5 items
Observed RTP, 30d
97.01%
159 openings, odds method
Variance
2.3×
of price², per opening
Tail share
20.0%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
80.0%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values5 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 159 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| USP-S | Alpine Camo (Minimal Wear)weapon · blue | 20.0% | $1.40 2.21 HUNT_COIN | 88.8% | 36 | 31.8 | 1.13× |
| XM1014 | Blue Steel (Well-Worn)weapon · uncommon | 20.0% | $0.08 0.12 HUNT_COIN | 4.8% | 31 | 31.8 | 0.97× |
| M4A1-S | Boreal Forest (Battle-Scarred)weapon · Industrial Grade | 20.0% | $0.08 0.12 HUNT_COIN | 4.8% | 28 | 31.8 | 0.88× |
| Souvenir SSG 08 | Jungle Dashed (Field-Tested)Souvenir · weapon · Consumer Grade | 20.0% | $0.01 0.02 HUNT_COIN | 0.8% | 32 | 31.8 | 1.01× |
| Sticker | NAF (Gold)sticker | 20.0% | $0.01 0.02 HUNT_COIN | 0.8% | 32 | 31.8 | 1.01× |
Values are Hunt.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
hunt:api/cases, 11 Nov, 08:06 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
M4A1-S | Boreal Forest (Battle-Scarred)weapon · Industrial Grade$0.360.57 HUNT_COIN$0.080.12 HUNT_COIN0.21x
Souvenir SSG 08 | Jungle Dashed (Field-Tested)Souvenir · weapon · Consumer Grade$0.360.57 HUNT_COIN$0.010.02 HUNT_COIN0.04x
Souvenir SSG 08 | Jungle Dashed (Field-Tested)Souvenir · weapon · Consumer Grade$0.360.57 HUNT_COIN$0.010.02 HUNT_COIN0.04x
Souvenir SSG 08 | Jungle Dashed (Field-Tested)Souvenir · weapon · Consumer Grade$0.360.57 HUNT_COIN$0.010.02 HUNT_COIN0.04x
M4A1-S | Boreal Forest (Battle-Scarred)weapon · Industrial GradeMarius Tutunaru$0.360.57 HUNT_COIN$0.080.12 HUNT_COIN0.21x
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 87.37%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $0.36 | 87.37% | 5 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedblue 20.0%uncommon 20.0%Industrial Grade 20.0%Consumer Grade 20.0%other 20.0%best hit —