ViwajW

A case on Hunt.gg (Community), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Hunt.gg's own item price converted from hunt coin at the rate on the site page.

Price

$4.79

7.54 HUNT_COIN

Advertised RTP

89.99%

EV $4.31 from 10 items

Observed RTP, 30d

78.01%

366 openings, odds method

Variance

22.7×

of price², per opening

Tail share

1 in 19

of openings carry half the EV

Below price

86.8%

of openings return less than the price

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample

24 hours

6 openings · below min

7 days

60.14%±87.53114 openings

30 days

78.01%±48.85366 openings

since tracking started

78.01%±48.85366 openings

-0.5%191.0%382.5%

Windowsthe test per window

Window	Openings	Observed	Dev.	Method
24h	6	0.27%±381.5	—	odds
7d	114	60.14%±87.5	−0.7σ	odds
30d	366	78.01%±48.8	−0.5σ	odds
All	366	78.01%±48.8	−0.5σ	odds

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and values10 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 366 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

Item	Odds	Value	EV share	Observed	Expected	Hot / cold
StatTrak™ AWP \| Lightning Strike (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · covert	1 in 3,333	$957 1,507 HUNT_COIN	6.7%	0	0.1	—
AK-47 \| Jet Set (Well-Worn)weapon · classified	1 in 2,000	$324 510 HUNT_COIN	3.8%	0	0.2	—
★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife \| Bright Water (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · knife · covert knife	1 in 1,000	$229 361 HUNT_COIN	5.3%	0	0.4	—
AWP \| Chrome Cannon (Factory New)weapon · red	1 in 200	$114 179 HUNT_COIN	13.2%	2	1.8	1.09×
USP-S \| Orion (Factory New)weapon · classified	1 in 100	$60.29 94.95 HUNT_COIN	14.0%	2	3.7	0.55×
StatTrak™ M4A4 \| Cyber Security (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · Classified	1 in 29	$38.33 60.37 HUNT_COIN	31.1%	15	12.8	1.17×
M4A4 \| Jungle Tiger (Field-Tested)weapon · industrial	1 in 13	$8.70 13.71 HUNT_COIN	16.2%	34	29.3	1.16×
Dual Berettas \| Sweet Little Angels (Well-Worn)weapon · uncommon	1 in 14	$3.75 5.91 HUNT_COIN	6.1%	22	25.6	0.86×
Nova \| Rust Coat (Field-Tested)weapon · Industrial Grade	1 in 17	$2.46 3.88 HUNT_COIN	3.4%	25	22.0	1.14×
Souvenir SSG 08 \| Jungle Dashed (Field-Tested)Souvenir · weapon · Consumer Grade	73.8%	$0.01 0.02 HUNT_COIN	0.2%	266	270.2	0.98×

Values are Hunt.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from hunt:api/cases, 11 Nov, 08:06 UTC.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.

Latest dropsnewest first

All →

Souvenir SSG 08 | Jungle Dashed (Field-Tested)Souvenir · weapon · Consumer GradeDiabloPhD$4.797.54 HUNT_COIN$0.010.02 HUNT_COIN0.00x15h

Souvenir SSG 08 | Jungle Dashed (Field-Tested)Souvenir · weapon · Consumer Grade$4.797.54 HUNT_COIN$0.010.02 HUNT_COIN0.00x15h

Souvenir SSG 08 | Jungle Dashed (Field-Tested)Souvenir · weapon · Consumer GradeDiabloPhD$4.797.54 HUNT_COIN$0.010.02 HUNT_COIN0.00x1d

Souvenir SSG 08 | Jungle Dashed (Field-Tested)Souvenir · weapon · Consumer Grade$4.797.54 HUNT_COIN$0.010.02 HUNT_COIN0.00x1d

M4A4 | Jungle Tiger (Field-Tested)weapon · industrial$4.797.54 HUNT_COIN$8.7013.71 HUNT_COIN1.82x1d

Souvenir SSG 08 | Jungle Dashed (Field-Tested)Souvenir · weapon · Consumer Grade$4.797.54 HUNT_COIN$0.010.02 HUNT_COIN0.00x1d

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 89.99%

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

Captured	Price	Advertised	Items
3 Nov, 04:27 UTC	$4.79	89.99%	10

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedcovert 0.0%classified 1.1%covert knife 0.1%red 0.5%Classified 3.5%industrial 8.0%uncommon 7.0%Industrial Grade 6.0%Consumer Grade 73.8%best hit —