10% Broky
A case on Hunt.gg (Community), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Hunt.gg's own item price converted from hunt coin at the rate on the site page.
Price
$1.41
2.22 HUNT_COIN
Advertised RTP
88.48%
EV $1.25 from 7 items
Observed RTP, 30d
89.44%
541 openings, odds method
Variance
21.0×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 13
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
90.0%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values7 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 541 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AWP | BOOM (Minimal Wear)weapon · classified | 1 in 1,000 | $128 202 HUNT_COIN | 10.3% | 0 | 0.5 | — |
| StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Player Two (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · covert | 1 in 111 | $47.71 75.15 HUNT_COIN | 34.4% | 6 | 4.9 | 1.23× |
| StatTrak™ M4A4 | Spider Lily (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · restricted | 1 in 15 | $9.71 15.3 HUNT_COIN | 50.6% | 38 | 35.2 | 1.08× |
| Sticker | Kimberlysticker · Rare | 1 in 40 | $1.86 2.93 HUNT_COIN | 3.7% | 11 | 13.5 | 0.81× |
| Sticker | OG (Glitter)sticker | 25.0% | $0.01 0.02 HUNT_COIN | 0.3% | 156 | 135.3 | 1.15× |
| MP9 | Sand Dashed (Well-Worn)weapon · consumer | 25.0% | $0.01 0.02 HUNT_COIN | 0.3% | 127 | 135.3 | 0.94× |
| G3SG1 | Desert Storm (Battle-Scarred)weapon · Consumer Grade | 40.0% | $0.01 0.02 HUNT_COIN | 0.4% | 203 | 216.4 | 0.94× |
Values are Hunt.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
hunt:api/cases, 11 Nov, 08:06 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
G3SG1 | Desert Storm (Battle-Scarred)weapon · Consumer Grade$1.412.22 HUNT_COIN$0.010.02 HUNT_COIN0.01x
G3SG1 | Desert Storm (Battle-Scarred)weapon · Consumer Grade$1.412.22 HUNT_COIN$0.010.02 HUNT_COIN0.01x
G3SG1 | Desert Storm (Battle-Scarred)weapon · Consumer Grade$1.412.22 HUNT_COIN$0.010.02 HUNT_COIN0.01x
G3SG1 | Desert Storm (Battle-Scarred)weapon · Consumer Grade$1.412.22 HUNT_COIN$0.010.02 HUNT_COIN0.01x
G3SG1 | Desert Storm (Battle-Scarred)weapon · Consumer Grade$1.412.22 HUNT_COIN$0.010.02 HUNT_COIN0.01x
G3SG1 | Desert Storm (Battle-Scarred)weapon · Consumer GradeMr Blekt0$1.412.22 HUNT_COIN$0.010.02 HUNT_COIN0.01x
G3SG1 | Desert Storm (Battle-Scarred)weapon · Consumer Grade$1.412.22 HUNT_COIN$0.010.02 HUNT_COIN0.01x
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 88.48%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $1.41 | 88.48% | 7 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedclassified 0.1%covert 0.9%restricted 6.5%Rare 2.5%other 25.0%consumer 25.0%Consumer Grade 40.0%best hit —