Jeffrey Epstein my Goat
A case on Hunt.gg (Community), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Hunt.gg's own item price converted from hunt coin at the rate on the site page.
Price
$3.73
5.88 HUNT_COIN
Advertised RTP
89.99%
EV $3.36 from 7 items
Observed RTP, 30d
109.98%
156 openings, odds method
Variance
7.2×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 13
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
85.0%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values7 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 156 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AWP | BOOM (Minimal Wear)weapon · classified | 1 in 1,000 | $128 202 HUNT_COIN | 3.8% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| M4A4 | Radiation Hazard (Minimal Wear)weapon · mil spec | 1 in 500 | $96.86 153 HUNT_COIN | 5.8% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| Desert Eagle | Starcade (Minimal Wear)weapon · rare | 1 in 143 | $51.39 80.94 HUNT_COIN | 10.7% | 2 | 1.1 | 1.83× |
| Desert Eagle | Kumicho Dragon (Factory New)weapon · classified | 1 in 100 | $33.82 53.27 HUNT_COIN | 10.1% | 1 | 1.6 | 0.64× |
| Glock-18 | Shinobu (Factory New)weapon · rare | 1 in 18 | $24.72 38.94 HUNT_COIN | 40.5% | 13 | 8.6 | 1.52× |
| AK-47 | Legion of Anubis (Factory New)weapon · Ancient | 1 in 13 | $12.92 20.35 HUNT_COIN | 28.8% | 14 | 11.7 | 1.20× |
| P250 | Sand Dune (Battle-Scarred)weapon · consumer | 85.0% | $0.01 0.02 HUNT_COIN | 0.3% | 126 | 132.6 | 0.95× |
Values are Hunt.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
hunt:api/cases, 11 Nov, 14:06 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
AK-47 | Legion of Anubis (Factory New)weapon · AncientDiabloPhD$3.735.88 HUNT_COIN$12.9220.35 HUNT_COIN3.46x
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 89.99%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $3.73 | 89.99% | 7 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedclassified 1.1%mil spec 0.2%rare 6.2%Ancient 7.5%consumer 85.0%best hit —