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A case on Hunt.gg (Community), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Hunt.gg's own item price converted from hunt coin at the rate on the site page.
Price
$0.17
0.26 HUNT_COIN
Advertised RTP
88.88%
EV $0.15 from 2 items
Observed RTP, 30d
88.46%
72 openings, odds method
Variance
0.0×
of price², per opening
Tail share
100.0%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
99.0%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Small sample. 72 openings and 72.0 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values2 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 72 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Desert Eagle | Corinthian (Field-Tested)weapon · blue | 1 in 100 | $0.22 0.34 HUNT_COIN | 1.5% | 0 | 0.7 | — |
| Five-SeveN | Violent Daimyo (Battle-Scarred)weapon · blue | 99.0% | $0.15 0.23 HUNT_COIN | 98.5% | 72 | 71.3 | 1.01× |
Values are Hunt.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
hunt:api/cases, 11 Nov, 14:06 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
Five-SeveN | Violent Daimyo (Battle-Scarred)weapon · blue$0.170.26 HUNT_COIN$0.150.23 HUNT_COIN0.88x
Five-SeveN | Violent Daimyo (Battle-Scarred)weapon · blue$0.170.26 HUNT_COIN$0.150.23 HUNT_COIN0.88x
Five-SeveN | Violent Daimyo (Battle-Scarred)weapon · blue$0.170.26 HUNT_COIN$0.150.23 HUNT_COIN0.88x
Five-SeveN | Violent Daimyo (Battle-Scarred)weapon · blue$0.170.26 HUNT_COIN$0.150.23 HUNT_COIN0.88x
Five-SeveN | Violent Daimyo (Battle-Scarred)weapon · blueDzejvi$0.170.26 HUNT_COIN$0.150.23 HUNT_COIN0.88x
Five-SeveN | Violent Daimyo (Battle-Scarred)weapon · blue$0.170.26 HUNT_COIN$0.150.23 HUNT_COIN0.88x
Five-SeveN | Violent Daimyo (Battle-Scarred)weapon · blue$0.170.26 HUNT_COIN$0.150.23 HUNT_COIN0.88x
Five-SeveN | Violent Daimyo (Battle-Scarred)weapon · blue$0.170.26 HUNT_COIN$0.150.23 HUNT_COIN0.88x
Five-SeveN | Violent Daimyo (Battle-Scarred)weapon · blueSzafir skins.army$0.170.26 HUNT_COIN$0.150.23 HUNT_COIN0.88x
Five-SeveN | Violent Daimyo (Battle-Scarred)weapon · blue$0.170.26 HUNT_COIN$0.150.23 HUNT_COIN0.88x
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 88.88%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $0.17 | 88.88% | 2 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedblue 100.0%best hit —