Price
$6.78
10.68 HUNT_COIN
Advertised RTP
87.31%
EV $5.92 from 15 items
Observed RTP, 30d
46.25%
156 openings, odds method
Variance
114.7×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 313
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
99.0%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Small sample. 156 openings and 0.5 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values15 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 156 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are Hunt.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
hunt:api/cases, 11 Nov, 08:06 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
★ Huntsman Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New)knife · sunny$6.7810.68 HUNT_COIN$472743 HUNT_COIN69.54x
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 87.31%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $6.78 | 87.31% | 15 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedCovert 0.3%#ffd700 0.0%covert knife 0.1%extraordinary 0.4%classified 0.0%covert 0.1%restricted 0.1%sunny 0.1%other 99.0%best hit $472 (69.54x)