1% Dedication

A case on Hunt.gg (Community), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Hunt.gg's own item price converted from hunt coin at the rate on the site page.

Price
$6.78
10.68 HUNT_COIN
Advertised RTP
87.31%
EV $5.92 from 15 items
Observed RTP, 30d
46.25%
156 openings, odds method
Variance
114.7×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 313
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
99.0%
of openings return less than the price

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
7 days
126 openings · below min
30 days
156 openings · below min
since tracking started
156 openings · below min
-0.5%107.3%215.0%

Small sample. 156 openings and 0.5 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h0———
7d1261.69%±187.0—odds
30d15646.25%±168.1—odds
All15646.25%±168.1—odds
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and values15 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 156 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
ItemOddsValueEV shareObservedExpectedHot / cold
★ Karambit | Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear)knife · Covert1 in 20,000$3,681 5,797 HUNT_COIN3.1%00.0—
★ M9 Bayonet | Gamma Doppler (Factory New)knife · #ffd7001 in 10,000$2,747 4,327 HUNT_COIN4.6%00.0—
★ StatTrak™ Nomad Knife | Doppler (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · knife · covert knife1 in 6,667$1,929 3,038 HUNT_COIN4.9%00.0—
★ StatTrak™ Talon Knife | Doppler (Factory New)StatTrak · knife · covert knife1 in 5,000$1,389 2,187 HUNT_COIN4.7%00.0—
★ Moto Gloves | Cool Mint (Minimal Wear)gloves · extraordinary1 in 5,000$1,249 1,967 HUNT_COIN4.2%00.0—
M4A4 | Poseidon (Minimal Wear)weapon · classified1 in 3,333$868 1,367 HUNT_COIN4.4%00.0—
★ Flip Knife | Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear)knife · covert knife1 in 2,500$827 1,303 HUNT_COIN5.6%00.1—
★ M9 Bayonet | Bright Water (Factory New)knife · covert1 in 2,000$816 1,285 HUNT_COIN6.9%00.1—
★ Hand Wraps | Cobalt Skulls (Minimal Wear)gloves · extraordinary1 in 1,667$799 1,258 HUNT_COIN8.1%00.1—
★ Sport Gloves | Amphibious (Field-Tested)gloves · extraordinary1 in 1,429$764 1,203 HUNT_COIN9.0%00.1—
M4A1-S | Icarus Fell (Factory New)weapon · restricted1 in 1,000$546 860 HUNT_COIN9.2%00.2—
★ Huntsman Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New)knife · sunny1 in 769$472 743 HUNT_COIN10.4%10.2—
★ Specialist Gloves | Mogul (Minimal Wear)gloves · extraordinary1 in 500$324 511 HUNT_COIN11.0%00.3—
★ Shadow Daggers | Doppler (Minimal Wear)knife · Covert1 in 400$285 448 HUNT_COIN12.0%00.4—
Sticker | Cloud9sticker99.0%$0.11 0.18 HUNT_COIN1.9%155154.41.00×
Values are Hunt.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from hunt:api/cases, 11 Nov, 08:06 UTC.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

★ Huntsman Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New)knife · sunny$6.7810.68 HUNT_COIN$472743 HUNT_COIN69.54x

Latest dropsnewest first

Sticker | Cloud9sticker$6.7810.68 HUNT_COIN$0.110.18 HUNT_COIN0.02x
Sticker | Cloud9sticker$6.7810.68 HUNT_COIN$0.110.18 HUNT_COIN0.02x
Sticker | Cloud9sticker$6.7810.68 HUNT_COIN$0.110.18 HUNT_COIN0.02x
Sticker | Cloud9sticker$6.7810.68 HUNT_COIN$0.110.18 HUNT_COIN0.02x
Sticker | Cloud9sticker$6.7810.68 HUNT_COIN$0.110.18 HUNT_COIN0.02x
Sticker | Cloud9stickerHarry$6.7810.68 HUNT_COIN$0.110.18 HUNT_COIN0.02x
Sticker | Cloud9sticker$6.7810.68 HUNT_COIN$0.110.18 HUNT_COIN0.02x
Sticker | Cloud9sticker$6.7810.68 HUNT_COIN$0.110.18 HUNT_COIN0.02x
Sticker | Cloud9sticker$6.7810.68 HUNT_COIN$0.110.18 HUNT_COIN0.02x
Sticker | Cloud9sticker$6.7810.68 HUNT_COIN$0.110.18 HUNT_COIN0.02x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 87.31%

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
3 Nov, 04:27 UTC$6.7887.31%15
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedCovert 0.3%#ffd700 0.0%covert knife 0.1%extraordinary 0.4%classified 0.0%covert 0.1%restricted 0.1%sunny 0.1%other 99.0%best hit $472 (69.54x)