Money Farm
A case on Hunt.gg (Community), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Hunt.gg's own item price converted from hunt coin at the rate on the site page.
Price
$0.29
0.45 HUNT_COIN
Advertised RTP
87.75%
EV $0.25 from 7 items
Observed RTP, 30d
88.38%
399 openings, odds method
Variance
18.9×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 12
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
84.9%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values7 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 399 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★ StatTrak™ Survival Knife | Safari Mesh (Factory New)StatTrak · knife · covert | 1 in 10,000 | $54.91 86.49 HUNT_COIN | 2.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| Desert Eagle | Printstream (Field-Tested)weapon · Ancient | 1 in 1,000 | $31.61 49.78 HUNT_COIN | 12.6% | 1 | 0.4 | — |
| StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Catacombs (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · Mil Spec Grade | 1 in 33 | $2.18 3.44 HUNT_COIN | 26.1% | 10 | 12.0 | 0.84× |
| Glock-18 | Moonrise (Factory New)weapon · restricted | 1 in 20 | $1.61 2.53 HUNT_COIN | 32.0% | 15 | 20.0 | 0.75× |
| Glock-18 | Catacombs (Factory New)weapon · Mil Spec | 1 in 14 | $0.69 1.09 HUNT_COIN | 19.3% | 22 | 27.9 | 0.79× |
| SSG 08 | Mainframe 001 (Battle-Scarred)weapon · 1 | 44.9% | $0.03 0.05 HUNT_COIN | 5.7% | 185 | 179.1 | 1.03× |
| Souvenir SSG 08 | Jungle Dashed (Field-Tested)Souvenir · weapon · Consumer Grade | 40.0% | $0.01 0.02 HUNT_COIN | 2.0% | 166 | 159.6 | 1.04× |
Values are Hunt.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
hunt:api/cases, 11 Nov, 08:06 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
Desert Eagle | Printstream (Field-Tested)weapon · Ancient$0.290.45 HUNT_COIN$31.6149.78 HUNT_COIN110.6x
Latest dropsnewest first
Souvenir SSG 08 | Jungle Dashed (Field-Tested)Souvenir · weapon · Consumer Grade$0.290.45 HUNT_COIN$0.010.02 HUNT_COIN0.04x
Souvenir SSG 08 | Jungle Dashed (Field-Tested)Souvenir · weapon · Consumer Grade$0.290.45 HUNT_COIN$0.010.02 HUNT_COIN0.04x
Souvenir SSG 08 | Jungle Dashed (Field-Tested)Souvenir · weapon · Consumer Grade$0.290.45 HUNT_COIN$0.010.02 HUNT_COIN0.04x
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 87.75%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $0.29 | 87.75% | 7 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listed1 44.9%covert 0.0%Ancient 0.1%Mil Spec Grade 3.0%restricted 5.0%Mil Spec 7.0%Consumer Grade 40.0%best hit $31.61 (110.6x)