5% Ocean Breeze
A case on Hunt.gg (Community), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Hunt.gg's own item price converted from hunt coin at the rate on the site page.
Price
$12.20
19.21 HUNT_COIN
Advertised RTP
87.40%
EV $10.66 from 14 items
Observed RTP, 30d
211.44%
224 openings, odds method
Variance
46.9×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 100
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
95.0%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Small sample. 224 openings and 2.2 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values14 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 224 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are Hunt.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
hunt:api/cases, 11 Nov, 08:06 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
★ Karambit | Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear)knife · Covert$12.2019.21 HUNT_COIN$3,6815,797 HUNT_COIN301.8x
Latest dropsnewest first
Sticker | Kawaii Eyes (Glitter)sticker · #8847ffMacieja$12.2019.21 HUNT_COIN$0.791.25 HUNT_COIN0.07x
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 87.40%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $12.20 | 87.40% | 14 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedextraordinary 0.5%Covert 0.4%covert knife 0.1%classified 1.1%restricted 1.1%sunny 0.3%rare 1.5%#8847ff 95.0%best hit $3,681 (301.8x)