test test
A case on Hunt.gg (Community), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Hunt.gg's own item price converted from hunt coin at the rate on the site page.
Price
$0.04
0.06 HUNT_COIN
Advertised RTP
83.33%
EV $0.03 from 5 items
Observed RTP, 30d
82.22%
571 openings, odds method
Variance
0.0×
of price², per opening
Tail share
60.0%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
80.0%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values5 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 571 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P90 | Freight (Field-Tested)weapon · #4b69ff | 20.0% | $0.04 0.07 HUNT_COIN | 28.0% | 97 | 114.2 | 0.85× |
| Souvenir MAC-10 | Strats (Field-Tested)Souvenir · weapon · #B0C3D9 | 20.0% | $0.03 0.05 HUNT_COIN | 20.0% | 122 | 114.2 | 1.07× |
| P90 | Desert Halftone (Battle-Scarred)weapon · #b0c3d9 | 20.0% | $0.03 0.05 HUNT_COIN | 20.0% | 120 | 114.2 | 1.05× |
| Sticker | TV On Miragesticker · high | 20.0% | $0.03 0.04 HUNT_COIN | 16.0% | 128 | 114.2 | 1.12× |
| Sawed-Off | Forest DDPAT (Battle-Scarred)weapon · consumer | 20.0% | $0.03 0.04 HUNT_COIN | 16.0% | 104 | 114.2 | 0.91× |
Values are Hunt.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
hunt:api/cases, 11 Nov, 08:06 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
Sawed-Off | Forest DDPAT (Battle-Scarred)weapon · consumer$0.040.06 HUNT_COIN$0.030.04 HUNT_COIN0.67x
Sawed-Off | Forest DDPAT (Battle-Scarred)weapon · consumer$0.040.06 HUNT_COIN$0.030.04 HUNT_COIN0.67x
Souvenir MAC-10 | Strats (Field-Tested)Souvenir · weapon · #B0C3D9$0.040.06 HUNT_COIN$0.030.05 HUNT_COIN0.83x
Souvenir MAC-10 | Strats (Field-Tested)Souvenir · weapon · #B0C3D9Poviliux$0.040.06 HUNT_COIN$0.030.05 HUNT_COIN0.83x
Souvenir MAC-10 | Strats (Field-Tested)Souvenir · weapon · #B0C3D9$0.040.06 HUNT_COIN$0.030.05 HUNT_COIN0.83x
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 83.33%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $0.04 | 83.33% | 5 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listed#4b69ff 20.0%#B0C3D9 20.0%#b0c3d9 20.0%high 20.0%consumer 20.0%best hit —