try ur luck
A case on Hunt.gg (Community), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Hunt.gg's own item price converted from hunt coin at the rate on the site page.
Price
$2.64
4.16 HUNT_COIN
Advertised RTP
87.28%
EV $2.31 from 6 items
Observed RTP, 30d
102.05%
144 openings, odds method
Variance
10.5×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 25
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
85.9%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values6 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 144 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★ Classic Knife | Case Hardened (Field-Tested)knife · covert knife | 1 in 10,000 | $232 366 HUNT_COIN | 1.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| ★ StatTrak™ Gut Knife | Fade (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · knife · Covert | 1 in 2,000 | $165 260 HUNT_COIN | 3.6% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| Desert Eagle | Printstream (Minimal Wear)weapon · covert | 1 in 100 | $45.83 72.19 HUNT_COIN | 19.9% | 2 | 1.4 | 1.39× |
| USP-S | Printstream (Field-Tested)weapon · covert | 1 in 33 | $33.26 52.39 HUNT_COIN | 43.3% | 6 | 4.3 | 1.39× |
| StatTrak™ FAMAS | Bad Trip (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · uncommon | 10.0% | $7.21 11.36 HUNT_COIN | 31.3% | 13 | 14.4 | 0.90× |
| Nova | Sand Dune (Minimal Wear)weapon · consumer | 85.9% | $0.03 0.04 HUNT_COIN | 0.9% | 123 | 123.8 | 0.99× |
Values are Hunt.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
hunt:api/cases, 11 Nov, 08:06 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
StatTrak™ FAMAS | Bad Trip (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · uncommon$2.644.16 HUNT_COIN$7.2111.36 HUNT_COIN2.73x
StatTrak™ FAMAS | Bad Trip (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · uncommonKi-JoongSong$2.644.16 HUNT_COIN$7.2111.36 HUNT_COIN2.73x
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 87.28%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $2.64 | 87.28% | 6 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedcovert knife 0.0%Covert 0.1%covert 4.0%uncommon 10.0%consumer 85.9%best hit —