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huh

A case on Hunt.gg (Community), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Hunt.gg's own item price converted from hunt coin at the rate on the site page.

Price
$0.75
1.18 HUNT_COIN
Advertised RTP
87.07%
EV $0.65 from 20 items
Observed RTP, 30d
103.68%
238 openings, odds method
Variance
77.9×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 17
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
85.5%
of openings return less than the price

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
18 openings · below min
7 days
72.72%±173.02100 openings
30 days
103.68%±112.15238 openings
since tracking started
103.68%±112.15238 openings
-0.5%219.3%439.0%

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h1830.74%±407.8—odds
7d10072.72%±173.0−0.2σodds
30d238103.68%±112.2+0.3σodds
All238103.68%±112.2+0.3σodds
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and values20 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 238 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
ItemOddsValueEV shareObservedExpectedHot / cold
StatTrak™ USP-S | Kill Confirmed (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · covert1 in 10,000$644 1,015 HUNT_COIN9.9%00.0—
USP-S | Guardian (Factory New)weapon · Mythical1 in 48$8.48 13.35 HUNT_COIN27.3%75.01.40×
Souvenir USP-S | Purple DDPAT (Minimal Wear)Souvenir · weapon · Mil Spec Grade1 in 27$4.50 7.09 HUNT_COIN25.5%148.81.59×
StatTrak™ USP-S | Lead Conduit (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · milspec1 in 21$2.48 3.9 HUNT_COIN17.8%1311.21.16×
USP-S | Alpine Camo (Minimal Wear)weapon · blue1 in 25$1.40 2.21 HUNT_COIN8.6%99.50.95×
USP-S | Night Ops (Field-Tested)weapon · mil spec1 in 17$0.36 0.57 HUNT_COIN3.3%1914.31.33×
USP-S | Desert Tactical (Battle-Scarred)weapon · blueLight1 in 11$0.10 0.16 HUNT_COIN1.4%1721.40.79×
Sticker | Baby Fire Serpentsticker · Rare10.5%$0.08 0.12 HUNT_COIN1.2%2125.00.84×
Sticker | hades (Glitter)sticker1 in 50$0.06 0.1 HUNT_COIN0.2%24.80.42×
MP9 | Pine (Battle-Scarred)weapon · #b0c3d91 in 25$0.06 0.1 HUNT_COIN0.4%109.51.05×
Sticker | Clicking Headssticker · Rare1 in 25$0.06 0.1 HUNT_COIN0.4%169.51.68×
AK-47 | Safari Mesh (Well-Worn)weapon · industrial1 in 50$0.06 0.1 HUNT_COIN0.2%64.81.26×
Glock-18 | Oxide Blaze (Battle-Scarred)weapon · mil spec1 in 25$0.06 0.1 HUNT_COIN0.4%149.51.47×
Sticker | Monstersticker · High Grade1 in 25$0.06 0.1 HUNT_COIN0.4%69.50.63×
AK-47 | Safari Mesh (Battle-Scarred)weapon · #87c7ff1 in 25$0.06 0.1 HUNT_COIN0.4%99.50.95×
Zeus x27 | Swamp DDPAT (Field-Tested)weapon · Common1 in 25$0.05 0.08 HUNT_COIN0.3%99.50.95×
Sticker | Virtus.prosticker1 in 13$0.05 0.08 HUNT_COIN0.6%1719.00.89×
Sticker | Kitted Outsticker · high1 in 13$0.04 0.07 HUNT_COIN0.5%2319.01.21×
M249 | Sage Camo (Battle-Scarred)weapon · #b0c3d91 in 13$0.04 0.07 HUNT_COIN0.5%1219.00.63×
P90 | Straight Dimes (Battle-Scarred)weapon · #5e98d91 in 13$0.04 0.07 HUNT_COIN0.5%1419.00.74×
Values are Hunt.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from hunt:api/cases, 11 Nov, 08:06 UTC.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.

Latest dropsnewest first

All Latest drops →
Sticker | Baby Fire Serpentsticker · Rare$0.751.18 HUNT_COIN$0.080.12 HUNT_COIN0.10x
P90 | Straight Dimes (Battle-Scarred)weapon · #5e98d9$0.751.18 HUNT_COIN$0.040.07 HUNT_COIN0.06x
USP-S | Night Ops (Field-Tested)weapon · mil spec$0.751.18 HUNT_COIN$0.360.57 HUNT_COIN0.48x
USP-S | Night Ops (Field-Tested)weapon · mil spec$0.751.18 HUNT_COIN$0.360.57 HUNT_COIN0.48x
Sticker | Kitted Outsticker · high$0.751.18 HUNT_COIN$0.040.07 HUNT_COIN0.06x
P90 | Straight Dimes (Battle-Scarred)weapon · #5e98d9Mr Blekt0$0.751.18 HUNT_COIN$0.040.07 HUNT_COIN0.06x
StatTrak™ USP-S | Lead Conduit (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · milspec$0.751.18 HUNT_COIN$2.483.9 HUNT_COIN3.31x
USP-S | Desert Tactical (Battle-Scarred)weapon · blueLight$0.751.18 HUNT_COIN$0.100.16 HUNT_COIN0.14x
Glock-18 | Oxide Blaze (Battle-Scarred)weapon · mil spec$0.751.18 HUNT_COIN$0.060.1 HUNT_COIN0.08x
Sticker | Clicking Headssticker · Rare$0.751.18 HUNT_COIN$0.060.1 HUNT_COIN0.08x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 87.07%

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
3 Nov, 04:27 UTC$0.7587.07%20
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedcovert 0.0%Mythical 2.1%Mil Spec Grade 3.7%milspec 4.7%blue 4.0%mil spec 10.0%blueLight 9.0%Rare 14.5%other 10.0%#b0c3d9 12.0%industrial 2.0%High Grade 4.0%#87c7ff 4.0%Common 4.0%high 8.0%#5e98d9 8.0%best hit —