free
A case on Hunt.gg (Community), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Hunt.gg's own item price converted from hunt coin at the rate on the site page.
Price
$3.40
5.36 HUNT_COIN
Advertised RTP
87.41%
EV $2.97 from 9 items
Observed RTP, 30d
23.67%
23 openings, odds method
Variance
148.4×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 476
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
99.7%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Small sample. 23 openings and 0.0 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values9 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 23 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★ Driver Gloves | King Snake (Minimal Wear)gloves · extraordinary | 1 in 10,000 | $1,292 2,034 HUNT_COIN | 4.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| ★ Sport Gloves | Vice (Field-Tested)gloves · extraordinary | 1 in 5,000 | $1,160 1,827 HUNT_COIN | 7.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| ★ StatTrak™ Bayonet | Gamma Doppler (Factory New)StatTrak · knife · covert knife | 1 in 3,333 | $1,080 1,701 HUNT_COIN | 10.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| ★ Sport Gloves | Vice (Well-Worn)gloves · extraordinary | 1 in 2,500 | $913 1,438 HUNT_COIN | 12.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| AK-47 | X-Ray (Field-Tested)weapon · covert | 1 in 2,000 | $770 1,213 HUNT_COIN | 12.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| ★ StatTrak™ Paracord Knife | Doppler (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · knife | 1 in 1,667 | $550 866 HUNT_COIN | 11.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| ★ Driver Gloves | Snow Leopard (Well-Worn)gloves · extraordinary | 1 in 1,429 | $428 674 HUNT_COIN | 10.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| Sticker | Bosh (Holo)sticker · violet | 34.7% | $2.50 3.94 HUNT_COIN | 29.2% | 7 | 8.0 | 0.88× |
| Sticker | Clicking Headssticker · Rare | 65.0% | $0.06 0.1 HUNT_COIN | 1.4% | 16 | 15.0 | 1.07× |
Values are Hunt.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
hunt:api/cases, 11 Nov, 08:06 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 87.41%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $3.40 | 87.41% | 9 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedextraordinary 0.1%covert knife 0.0%covert 0.1%other 0.1%violet 34.7%Rare 65.0%best hit —