1% pistols

A case on Hunt.gg (Community), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Hunt.gg's own item price converted from hunt coin at the rate on the site page.

Price

$1.43

2.25 HUNT_COIN

Advertised RTP

87.50%

EV $1.25 from 6 items

Observed RTP, 30d

33.27%

245 openings, odds method

Variance

152.5×

of price², per opening

Tail share

1 in 333

of openings carry half the EV

Below price

99.0%

of openings return less than the price

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample

7 days

131 openings · below min

30 days

245 openings · below min

since tracking started

245 openings · below min

-0.5%121.5%243.5%

Small sample. 245 openings and 0.7 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.

Windowsthe test per window

Window	Openings	Observed	Dev.	Method
24h	0	—	—	—
7d	131	31.17%±211.5	—	odds
30d	245	33.27%±154.6	—	odds
All	245	33.27%±154.6	—	odds

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and values6 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 245 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

Item	Odds	Value	EV share	Observed	Expected	Hot / cold
StatTrak™ USP-S \| Kill Confirmed (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · covert	1 in 2,000	$644 1,015 HUNT_COIN	25.8%	0	0.1	—
Glock-18 \| Twilight Galaxy (Field-Tested)weapon · classified	1 in 2,000	$217 341 HUNT_COIN	8.7%	0	0.1	—
StatTrak™ USP-S \| Printstream (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · covert	1 in 500	$137 216 HUNT_COIN	22.0%	0	0.5	—
Glock-18 \| Dragon Tattoo (Factory New)weapon · restricted	1 in 333	$102 160 HUNT_COIN	24.4%	0	0.7	—
USP-S \| Printstream (Minimal Wear)weapon · red	1 in 250	$56.67 89.26 HUNT_COIN	18.1%	2	1.0	—
Souvenir Sawed-Off \| Sage Spray (Well-Worn)Souvenir · weapon · Common	99.0%	$0.01 0.02 HUNT_COIN	1.0%	243	242.6	1.00×

Values are Hunt.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from hunt:api/cases, 10 Nov, 08:05 UTC.