2% crazy bayonet
A case on Hunt.gg, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Hunt.gg's own item price converted from hunt coin at the rate on the site page.
Price
$12.16
19.15 HUNT_COIN
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
133.85%
345 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
Small sample. 345 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and valuesnone published
No catalogHunt.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are Hunt.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.
Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
★ StatTrak™ Bayonet | Marble Fade (Factory New)StatTrak · knife · epic$12.1619.15 HUNT_COIN$6941,094 HUNT_COIN57.10x
★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Scorched (Well-Worn)StatTrak · knife · #EB4B4B$12.1619.15 HUNT_COIN$556875 HUNT_COIN45.69x
Latest dropsnewest first
SCAR-20 | Sand Mesh (Well-Worn)weapon · consumerMacieja$12.1619.15 HUNT_COIN$0.010.02 HUNT_COIN0.00x
SCAR-20 | Sand Mesh (Well-Worn)weapon · consumerMacieja$12.1619.15 HUNT_COIN$0.010.02 HUNT_COIN0.00x
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, daily
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedbest hit $2,014 (165.6x)