PISTOL POWER
A case on Hunt.gg (Community), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Hunt.gg's own item price converted from hunt coin at the rate on the site page.
Price
$0.80
1.26 HUNT_COIN
Advertised RTP
87.30%
EV $0.70 from 6 items
Observed RTP, 30d
86.20%
77 openings, odds method
Variance
1.1×
of price², per opening
Tail share
20.0%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
80.0%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Small sample. 77 openings and 15.4 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values6 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 77 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Glock-18 | Vogue (Battle-Scarred)weapon · #d32ee6 | 10.0% | $2.36 3.72 HUNT_COIN | 33.8% | 8 | 7.7 | 1.04× |
| Zeus x27 | Charged Up (Well-Worn)weapon · violet | 10.0% | $2.30 3.63 HUNT_COIN | 33.0% | 8 | 7.7 | 1.04× |
| Glock-18 | Catacombs (Factory New)weapon · Mil Spec | 20.0% | $0.69 1.09 HUNT_COIN | 19.8% | 15 | 15.4 | 0.97× |
| Desert Eagle | Urban Rubble (Well-Worn)weapon · mil spec | 25.0% | $0.36 0.56 HUNT_COIN | 12.7% | 14 | 19.3 | 0.73× |
| P250 | Sand Dune (Battle-Scarred)weapon · consumer | 17.5% | $0.01 0.02 HUNT_COIN | 0.3% | 13 | 13.5 | 0.96× |
| P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn)weapon · consumer | 17.5% | $0.01 0.02 HUNT_COIN | 0.3% | 19 | 13.5 | 1.41× |
Values are Hunt.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
hunt:api/cases, 11 Nov, 08:06 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
Glock-18 | Catacombs (Factory New)weapon · Mil SpecMr Blekt0$0.801.26 HUNT_COIN$0.691.09 HUNT_COIN0.87x
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 87.30%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $0.80 | 87.30% | 6 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listed#d32ee6 10.0%violet 10.0%Mil Spec 20.0%mil spec 25.0%consumer 35.0%best hit —