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A case on Hunt.gg (Community), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Hunt.gg's own item price converted from hunt coin at the rate on the site page.
Price
$0.18
0.29 HUNT_COIN
Advertised RTP
87.93%
EV $0.16 from 2 items
Observed RTP, 30d
86.73%
203 openings, odds method
Variance
0.7×
of price², per opening
Tail share
50.0%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
50.0%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values2 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 203 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Five-SeveN | Capillary (Minimal Wear)weapon · Rare | 50.0% | $0.31 0.49 HUNT_COIN | 96.1% | 100 | 101.5 | 0.99× |
| P250 | Sand Dune (Field-Tested)weapon · consumer | 50.0% | $0.01 0.02 HUNT_COIN | 3.9% | 103 | 101.5 | 1.01× |
Values are Hunt.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
hunt:api/cases, 11 Nov, 08:06 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
P250 | Sand Dune (Field-Tested)weapon · consumer@banditTriken$0.180.29 HUNT_COIN$0.010.02 HUNT_COIN0.07x
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 87.93%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $0.18 | 87.93% | 2 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedRare 50.0%consumer 50.0%best hit —