monino 2

A case on Hunt.gg (Community), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Hunt.gg's own item price converted from hunt coin at the rate on the site page.

Price
$0.24
0.38 HUNT_COIN
Advertised RTP
87.37%
EV $0.21 from 2 items
Observed RTP, 30d
101.50%
91 openings, odds method
Variance
1.6×
of price², per opening
Tail share
30.0%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
70.0%
of openings return less than the price

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
12 openings · below min
7 days
87 openings · below min
30 days
91 openings · below min
since tracking started
91 openings · below min
2.0%73.8%145.5%

Small sample. 91 openings and 27.3 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h1273.68%±71.0—odds
7d8799.64%±26.4—odds
30d91101.50%±25.8—odds
All91101.50%±25.8—odds
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and values2 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 91 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
ItemOddsValueEV shareObservedExpectedHot / cold
Sticker | Ninja Defusesticker · Rare30.0%$0.67 1.06 HUNT_COIN95.8%3227.31.17×
Souvenir SSG 08 | Jungle Dashed (Field-Tested)Souvenir · weapon · Consumer Grade70.0%$0.01 0.02 HUNT_COIN4.2%5963.70.93×
Values are Hunt.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from hunt:api/cases, 11 Nov, 08:06 UTC.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.

Latest dropsnewest first

Sticker | Ninja Defusesticker · Rare$0.240.38 HUNT_COIN$0.671.06 HUNT_COIN2.79x
Sticker | Ninja Defusesticker · Rare$0.240.38 HUNT_COIN$0.671.06 HUNT_COIN2.79x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 87.37%

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
3 Nov, 04:27 UTC$0.2487.37%2
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedRare 30.0%Consumer Grade 70.0%best hit —