Price
$0.24
0.38 HUNT_COIN
Advertised RTP
87.37%
EV $0.21 from 2 items
Observed RTP, 30d
101.50%
91 openings, odds method
Variance
1.6×
of price², per opening
Tail share
30.0%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
70.0%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Small sample. 91 openings and 27.3 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values2 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 91 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sticker | Ninja Defusesticker · Rare | 30.0% | $0.67 1.06 HUNT_COIN | 95.8% | 32 | 27.3 | 1.17× |
| Souvenir SSG 08 | Jungle Dashed (Field-Tested)Souvenir · weapon · Consumer Grade | 70.0% | $0.01 0.02 HUNT_COIN | 4.2% | 59 | 63.7 | 0.93× |
Values are Hunt.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
hunt:api/cases, 11 Nov, 08:06 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
Souvenir SSG 08 | Jungle Dashed (Field-Tested)Souvenir · weapon · Consumer Grade$0.240.38 HUNT_COIN$0.010.02 HUNT_COIN0.05x
Souvenir SSG 08 | Jungle Dashed (Field-Tested)Souvenir · weapon · Consumer Grade$0.240.38 HUNT_COIN$0.010.02 HUNT_COIN0.05x
Souvenir SSG 08 | Jungle Dashed (Field-Tested)Souvenir · weapon · Consumer Grade$0.240.38 HUNT_COIN$0.010.02 HUNT_COIN0.05x
Souvenir SSG 08 | Jungle Dashed (Field-Tested)Souvenir · weapon · Consumer GradeCalleballe$0.240.38 HUNT_COIN$0.010.02 HUNT_COIN0.05x
Souvenir SSG 08 | Jungle Dashed (Field-Tested)Souvenir · weapon · Consumer Grade$0.240.38 HUNT_COIN$0.010.02 HUNT_COIN0.05x
Souvenir SSG 08 | Jungle Dashed (Field-Tested)Souvenir · weapon · Consumer Grade$0.240.38 HUNT_COIN$0.010.02 HUNT_COIN0.05x
Souvenir SSG 08 | Jungle Dashed (Field-Tested)Souvenir · weapon · Consumer Grade$0.240.38 HUNT_COIN$0.010.02 HUNT_COIN0.05x
Souvenir SSG 08 | Jungle Dashed (Field-Tested)Souvenir · weapon · Consumer Grade$0.240.38 HUNT_COIN$0.010.02 HUNT_COIN0.05x
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 87.37%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $0.24 | 87.37% | 2 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedRare 30.0%Consumer Grade 70.0%best hit —