free guantes

A case on Hunt.gg (Community), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Hunt.gg's own item price converted from hunt coin at the rate on the site page.

Price

$0.07

0.11 HUNT_COIN

Advertised RTP

87.78%

EV $0.06 from 2 items

Observed RTP, 30d

18.18%

107 openings, odds method

Variance

484433.6×

of price², per opening

Tail share

1 in 1,000,000

of openings carry half the EV

Below price

100.0%

of openings return less than the price

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample

24 hours

6 openings · below min

7 days

71 openings · below min

30 days

107 openings · below min

since tracking started

107 openings · below min

-0.5%27855.0%55710.5%

Small sample. 107 openings and 0.0 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.

Windowsthe test per window

Window	Openings	Observed	Dev.	Method
24h	6	18.18%±55691.6	—	odds
7d	71	18.18%±16189.6	—	odds
30d	107	18.18%±13187.8	—	odds
All	107	18.18%±13187.8	—	odds

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and values2 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 107 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

Item	Odds	Value	EV share	Observed	Expected	Hot / cold
★ Sport Gloves \| Hedge Maze (Factory New)gloves · extraordinary	1 in 1,000,000	$48.6K 76,561 HUNT_COIN	79.3%	0	0.0	—
Souvenir SSG 08 \| Jungle Dashed (Field-Tested)Souvenir · weapon · Consumer Grade	100.0%	$0.01 0.02 HUNT_COIN	20.7%	107	107.0	1.00×

Values are Hunt.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from hunt:api/cases, 12 Nov, 08:06 UTC.