Bish bash bosh
A case on Hunt.gg (Official), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Hunt.gg's own item price converted from hunt coin at the rate on the site page.
Price
$2.15
3.39 HUNT_COIN
Advertised RTP
86.84%
EV $1.87 from 5 items
Observed RTP, 30d
95.10%
1,001 openings, odds method
Variance
2.8×
of price², per opening
Tail share
40.0%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
40.0%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values5 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 1,001 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sticker | ESL One Cologne 2014 (Red)sticker · #d32ce6 | 1 in 1,000 | $106 168 HUNT_COIN | 5.7% | 3 | 1.0 | 3.00× |
| Sticker | Bish (Holo)sticker · Remarkable | 19.9% | $3.66 5.77 HUNT_COIN | 39.0% | 193 | 199.2 | 0.97× |
| Sticker | Bash (Holo)sticker · remarkable | 20.0% | $2.64 4.16 HUNT_COIN | 28.3% | 193 | 200.2 | 0.96× |
| Sticker | Bosh (Holo)sticker · violet | 20.0% | $2.50 3.94 HUNT_COIN | 26.8% | 203 | 200.2 | 1.01× |
| P250 | Sand Dune (Field-Tested)weapon · consumer | 40.0% | $0.01 0.02 HUNT_COIN | 0.3% | 409 | 400.4 | 1.02× |
Values are Hunt.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
hunt:api/cases, 11 Nov, 08:06 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
P250 | Sand Dune (Field-Tested)weapon · consumerRicardo Milos$2.153.39 HUNT_COIN$0.010.02 HUNT_COIN0.01x
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 86.84%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $2.15 | 86.84% | 5 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listed#d32ce6 0.1%Remarkable 19.9%remarkable 20.0%violet 20.0%consumer 40.0%best hit —