Farmer Hunt

A case on Hunt.gg (Community), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Hunt.gg's own item price converted from hunt coin at the rate on the site page.

Price

$0.05

0.08 HUNT_COIN

Advertised RTP

89.90%

EV $0.05 from 5 items

Observed RTP, 30d

78.87%

4,364 openings, odds method

Variance

21.5×

of price², per opening

Tail share

1 in 21

of openings carry half the EV

Below price

95.3%

of openings return less than the price

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample

24 hours

120.62%±38.80548 openings

7 days

78.09%±15.133,604 openings

30 days

78.87%±13.754,364 openings

since tracking started

78.87%±13.754,364 openings

62.5%111.3%160.0%

Windowsthe test per window

Window	Openings	Observed	Dev.	Method
24h	548	120.62%±38.8	+1.6σ	odds
7d	3,604	78.09%±15.1	−1.5σ	odds
30d	4,364	78.87%±13.7	−1.6σ	odds
All	4,364	78.87%±13.7	−1.6σ	odds

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and values5 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 4,364 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

Item	Odds	Value	EV share	Observed	Expected	Hot / cold
StatTrak™ Desert Eagle \| Trigger Discipline (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · restricted	1 in 500	$4.43 6.98 HUNT_COIN	19.4%	3	8.7	0.34×
UMP-45 \| Wild Child (Battle-Scarred)weapon · pink	1 in 200	$1.35 2.12 HUNT_COIN	14.7%	22	21.8	1.01×
FAMAS \| Cyanospatter (Factory New)weapon · #87c7ff	1 in 100	$0.71 1.12 HUNT_COIN	15.6%	49	43.6	1.12×
CZ75-Auto \| Tacticat (Battle-Scarred)weapon · #8847ff	1 in 33	$0.36 0.57 HUNT_COIN	23.8%	122	130.9	0.93×
Souvenir SSG 08 \| Jungle Dashed (Field-Tested)Souvenir · weapon · Consumer Grade	95.3%	$0.01 0.02 HUNT_COIN	26.5%	4,168	4158.9	1.00×

Values are Hunt.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from hunt:api/cases, 11 Nov, 08:06 UTC.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.

Latest dropsnewest first

All →

Souvenir SSG 08 | Jungle Dashed (Field-Tested)Souvenir · weapon · Consumer Grade$0.050.08 HUNT_COIN$0.010.02 HUNT_COIN0.25x2h

FAMAS | Cyanospatter (Factory New)weapon · #87c7ff$0.050.08 HUNT_COIN$0.711.12 HUNT_COIN14.00x2h

Souvenir SSG 08 | Jungle Dashed (Field-Tested)Souvenir · weapon · Consumer Grade$0.050.08 HUNT_COIN$0.010.02 HUNT_COIN0.25x2h

Souvenir SSG 08 | Jungle Dashed (Field-Tested)Souvenir · weapon · Consumer GradeSen$0.050.08 HUNT_COIN$0.010.02 HUNT_COIN0.25x2h

Souvenir SSG 08 | Jungle Dashed (Field-Tested)Souvenir · weapon · Consumer Grade$0.050.08 HUNT_COIN$0.010.02 HUNT_COIN0.25x2h

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 89.90%

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

Captured	Price	Advertised	Items
3 Nov, 04:27 UTC	$0.05	89.90%	5

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedrestricted 0.2%pink 0.5%#87c7ff 1.0%#8847ff 3.0%Consumer Grade 95.3%best hit —