Dlore from 9c
A case on Hunt.gg (Community), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Hunt.gg's own item price converted from hunt coin at the rate on the site page.
Price
$5.75
9.06 HUNT_COIN
Advertised RTP
87.32%
EV $5.02 from 6 items
Observed RTP, 30d
46.27%
474 openings, odds method
Variance
427.5×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 500
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
99.0%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Small sample. 474 openings and 0.9 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values6 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 474 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AWP | Dragon Lore (Field-Tested)weapon · covert | 1 in 10,000 | $7,292 11,484 HUNT_COIN | 14.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| ★ Butterfly Knife | Lore (Factory New)knife · covert | 1 in 2,500 | $4,236 6,672 HUNT_COIN | 33.7% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| StatTrak™ AK-47 | Vulcan (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · covert | 1 in 667 | $1,007 1,586 HUNT_COIN | 30.1% | 1 | 0.7 | — |
| ★ StatTrak™ Gut Knife | Fade (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · knife · Covert | 1 in 200 | $165 260 HUNT_COIN | 16.5% | 1 | 2.4 | 0.42× |
| AK-47 | Neon Rider (Minimal Wear)weapon · covert | 1 in 333 | $83.33 131 HUNT_COIN | 5.0% | 1 | 1.4 | 0.70× |
| Souvenir R8 Revolver | Night (Battle-Scarred)Souvenir · weapon | 99.0% | $0.01 0.02 HUNT_COIN | 0.3% | 471 | 469.3 | 1.00× |
Values are Hunt.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
hunt:api/cases, 11 Nov, 20:06 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Vulcan (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · covertPOSK$5.759.06 HUNT_COIN$1,0071,586 HUNT_COIN175.0x
Latest dropsnewest first
Souvenir R8 Revolver | Night (Battle-Scarred)Souvenir · weapon$5.759.06 HUNT_COIN$0.010.02 HUNT_COIN0.00x
Souvenir R8 Revolver | Night (Battle-Scarred)Souvenir · weapon$5.759.06 HUNT_COIN$0.010.02 HUNT_COIN0.00x
Souvenir R8 Revolver | Night (Battle-Scarred)Souvenir · weapon$5.759.06 HUNT_COIN$0.010.02 HUNT_COIN0.00x
Souvenir R8 Revolver | Night (Battle-Scarred)Souvenir · weapon$5.759.06 HUNT_COIN$0.010.02 HUNT_COIN0.00x
Souvenir R8 Revolver | Night (Battle-Scarred)Souvenir · weapon$5.759.06 HUNT_COIN$0.010.02 HUNT_COIN0.00x
Souvenir R8 Revolver | Night (Battle-Scarred)Souvenir · weaponPOSK$5.759.06 HUNT_COIN$0.010.02 HUNT_COIN0.00x
Souvenir R8 Revolver | Night (Battle-Scarred)Souvenir · weapon$5.759.06 HUNT_COIN$0.010.02 HUNT_COIN0.00x
Souvenir R8 Revolver | Night (Battle-Scarred)Souvenir · weapon$5.759.06 HUNT_COIN$0.010.02 HUNT_COIN0.00x
Souvenir R8 Revolver | Night (Battle-Scarred)Souvenir · weapon$5.759.06 HUNT_COIN$0.010.02 HUNT_COIN0.00x
Souvenir R8 Revolver | Night (Battle-Scarred)Souvenir · weapon$5.759.06 HUNT_COIN$0.010.02 HUNT_COIN0.00x
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 87.32%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $5.75 | 87.32% | 6 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedcovert 0.5%Covert 0.5%other 99.0%best hit $1,007 (175.0x)