All or Nothing
A case on Hunt.gg (Community), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Hunt.gg's own item price converted from hunt coin at the rate on the site page.
Price
$3.31
5.22 HUNT_COIN
Advertised RTP
89.04%
EV $2.95 from 2 items
Observed RTP, 30d
325.56%
805 openings, odds method
Variance
751.7×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 1,000
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
99.9%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Small sample. 805 openings and 0.8 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values2 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 820 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★ Sport Gloves | Slingshot (Minimal Wear)gloves · extraordinary | 1 in 1,000 | $2,875 4,528 HUNT_COIN | 97.4% | 3 | 0.8 | — |
| Sticker | Baby Fire Serpentsticker · Rare | 99.9% | $0.08 0.12 HUNT_COIN | 2.6% | 817 | 819.2 | 1.00× |
Values are Hunt.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
hunt:api/cases, 11 Nov, 08:06 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
★ Sport Gloves | Slingshot (Minimal Wear)gloves · extraordinary$3.315.22 HUNT_COIN$2,8754,528 HUNT_COIN867.4x
★ Sport Gloves | Slingshot (Minimal Wear)gloves · extraordinary$3.315.22 HUNT_COIN$2,8754,528 HUNT_COIN867.4x
★ Sport Gloves | Slingshot (Minimal Wear)gloves · extraordinary$3.315.22 HUNT_COIN$2,8754,528 HUNT_COIN867.4x
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 89.04%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $3.31 | 89.04% | 2 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedextraordinary 0.1%Rare 99.9%best hit $2,875 (867.4x)