sewi sticker juice
A case on Hunt.gg (Community), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Hunt.gg's own item price converted from hunt coin at the rate on the site page.
Price
$10.96
17.26 HUNT_COIN
Advertised RTP
89.20%
EV $9.78 from 7 items
Observed RTP, 30d
37.92%
404 openings, odds method
Variance
141.6×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 400
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
98.2%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Small sample. 404 openings and 1.0 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values7 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 404 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sticker | Titansticker | 1 in 1,000 | $3,472 5,469 HUNT_COIN | 35.5% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| Sticker | Team LDLC.comsticker | 1 in 667 | $1,511 2,380 HUNT_COIN | 23.2% | 0 | 0.6 | — |
| Sticker | LGB eSportssticker | 1 in 500 | $694 1,094 HUNT_COIN | 14.2% | 2 | 0.8 | — |
| Sticker | Virtus.prosticker | 1 in 500 | $416 656 HUNT_COIN | 8.5% | 0 | 0.8 | — |
| Sticker | Virtus.Pro (Holo)sticker | 1 in 500 | $285 448 HUNT_COIN | 5.8% | 1 | 0.8 | — |
| Sticker | Virtus.Pro (Foil)sticker | 1 in 100 | $123 194 HUNT_COIN | 12.6% | 0 | 4.0 | 0.00× |
| Sticker | NAF (Gold)sticker | 98.2% | $0.01 0.02 HUNT_COIN | 0.1% | 401 | 396.5 | 1.01× |
Values are Hunt.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
hunt:api/cases, 11 Nov, 08:06 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 89.20%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $10.96 | 89.20% | 7 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedother 100.0%best hit $694 (63.37x)