Stix come up juicer

A case on Hunt.gg (Community), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Hunt.gg's own item price converted from hunt coin at the rate on the site page.

Price

$2.51

3.95 HUNT_COIN

Advertised RTP

87.35%

EV $2.19 from 5 items

Observed RTP, 30d

76.58%

394 openings, odds method

Variance

133.0×

of price², per opening

Tail share

1 in 95

of openings carry half the EV

Below price

90.0%

of openings return less than the price

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample

24 hours

6 openings · below min

7 days

358 openings · below min

30 days

394 openings · below min

since tracking started

394 openings · below min

-0.5%477.8%956.0%

Small sample. 394 openings and 4.1 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.

Windowsthe test per window

Window	Openings	Observed	Dev.	Method
24h	6	32.49%±922.8	—	odds
7d	358	83.12%±119.5	—	odds
30d	394	76.58%±113.9	—	odds
All	394	76.58%±113.9	—	odds

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and values5 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 394 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

Item	Odds	Value	EV share	Observed	Expected	Hot / cold
M4A1-S \| Hot Rod (Minimal Wear)weapon · classified	1 in 2,000	$1,250 1,969 HUNT_COIN	28.5%	0	0.2	—
Sticker \| HellRaisers (Holo)sticker	1 in 100	$69.44 109 HUNT_COIN	31.7%	5	3.9	1.27×
StatTrak™ Glock-18 \| Vogue (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · classified	1 in 33	$18.76 29.54 HUNT_COIN	25.7%	14	11.8	1.18×
AK-47 \| Safety Net (Factory New)weapon · restricted	1 in 17	$4.76 7.5 HUNT_COIN	13.0%	29	23.6	1.23×
Souvenir P90 \| Verdant Growth (Minimal Wear)Souvenir · weapon · Industrial Grade	90.0%	$0.03 0.04 HUNT_COIN	1.0%	346	354.4	0.98×

Values are Hunt.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from hunt:api/cases, 11 Nov, 08:06 UTC.