Stix 22% balance builder
A case on Hunt.gg (Community), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Hunt.gg's own item price converted from hunt coin at the rate on the site page.
Price
$1.87
2.94 HUNT_COIN
Advertised RTP
87.41%
EV $1.63 from 4 items
Observed RTP, 30d
111.61%
202 openings, odds method
Variance
7.8×
of price², per opening
Tail share
12.0%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
78.0%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values4 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 202 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| StatTrak™ AWP | Atheris (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · restricted | 1 in 50 | $35.77 56.33 HUNT_COIN | 43.8% | 6 | 4.0 | 1.49× |
| USP-S | Blood Tiger (Factory New)weapon · Rare | 10.0% | $5.77 9.09 HUNT_COIN | 35.4% | 24 | 20.2 | 1.19× |
| Sticker | Gambit Gamingsticker | 10.0% | $3.19 5.03 HUNT_COIN | 19.6% | 20 | 20.2 | 0.99× |
| Sticker | Apekssticker | 78.0% | $0.03 0.04 HUNT_COIN | 1.2% | 152 | 157.6 | 0.96× |
Values are Hunt.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
hunt:api/cases, 11 Nov, 08:06 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 87.41%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $1.87 | 87.41% | 4 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedrestricted 2.0%Rare 10.0%other 88.0%best hit —