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6% group farm

A case on Hunt.gg (Community), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Hunt.gg's own item price converted from hunt coin at the rate on the site page.

Price
$6.89
10.85 HUNT_COIN
Advertised RTP
87.38%
EV $6.02 from 12 items
Observed RTP, 30d
102.26%
3,086 openings, odds method
Variance
63.7×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 217
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
95.5%
of openings return less than the price

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
6 openings · below min
7 days
106.82%±30.362,654 openings
30 days
102.26%±28.163,086 openings
since tracking started
102.26%±28.163,086 openings
-0.5%320.5%641.5%

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h62.20%±638.5—odds
7d2,654106.82%±30.4+1.3σodds
30d3,086102.26%±28.2+1.0σodds
All3,086102.26%±28.2+1.0σodds
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and values12 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 3,086 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
ItemOddsValueEV shareObservedExpectedHot / cold
★ Talon Knife | Slaughter (Factory New)knife · covert1 in 500$1,051 1,655 HUNT_COIN34.9%76.21.13×
AK-47 | X-Ray (Field-Tested)weapon · covert1 in 10,000$770 1,213 HUNT_COIN1.3%00.3—
★ Bayonet | Tiger Tooth (Minimal Wear)knife · covert1 in 2,000$625 984 HUNT_COIN5.2%21.51.30×
★ StatTrak™ Bayonet | Bright Water (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · knife · covert1 in 500$326 514 HUNT_COIN10.8%106.21.62×
★ StatTrak™ Stiletto Knife | Ultraviolet (Field-Tested)StatTrak · knife · covert knife1 in 333$309 486 HUNT_COIN15.4%139.31.40×
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Inheritance (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · covert1 in 833$132 208 HUNT_COIN2.6%33.70.81×
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Neon Revolution (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · covert1 in 37$51.58 81.24 HUNT_COIN22.9%7982.40.96×
Sticker | fer (Foil)sticker1 in 100$20.29 31.95 HUNT_COIN3.4%3730.91.20×
StatTrak™ FAMAS | Sergeant (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · restricted1 in 100$6.79 10.7 HUNT_COIN1.1%2930.90.94×
Nova | Caged Steel (Field-Tested)weapon · industrial60.0%$0.15 0.24 HUNT_COIN1.5%1,8941851.61.02×
StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Memorial (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · #4b69ff23.4%$0.15 0.24 HUNT_COIN0.6%711723.70.98×
Sticker | Clown Wigsticker · #4b69ff11.0%$0.15 0.23 HUNT_COIN0.3%301339.50.89×
Values are Hunt.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from hunt:api/cases, 11 Nov, 08:06 UTC.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

★ Talon Knife | Slaughter (Factory New)knife · covert$6.8910.85 HUNT_COIN$1,0511,655 HUNT_COIN152.5x
★ Talon Knife | Slaughter (Factory New)knife · covertCHUD$6.8910.85 HUNT_COIN$1,0511,655 HUNT_COIN152.5x
★ Talon Knife | Slaughter (Factory New)knife · covert$6.8910.85 HUNT_COIN$1,0511,655 HUNT_COIN152.5x
★ Talon Knife | Slaughter (Factory New)knife · covert$6.8910.85 HUNT_COIN$1,0511,655 HUNT_COIN152.5x
★ Talon Knife | Slaughter (Factory New)knife · covert$6.8910.85 HUNT_COIN$1,0511,655 HUNT_COIN152.5x
★ Talon Knife | Slaughter (Factory New)knife · covertCHUD$6.8910.85 HUNT_COIN$1,0511,655 HUNT_COIN152.5x
★ Talon Knife | Slaughter (Factory New)knife · covert$6.8910.85 HUNT_COIN$1,0511,655 HUNT_COIN152.5x
★ Bayonet | Tiger Tooth (Minimal Wear)knife · covert$6.8910.85 HUNT_COIN$625984 HUNT_COIN90.72x
★ Bayonet | Tiger Tooth (Minimal Wear)knife · covert$6.8910.85 HUNT_COIN$625984 HUNT_COIN90.72x

Latest dropsnewest first

All Latest drops →
Nova | Caged Steel (Field-Tested)weapon · industrial$6.8910.85 HUNT_COIN$0.150.24 HUNT_COIN0.02x
Nova | Caged Steel (Field-Tested)weapon · industrial$6.8910.85 HUNT_COIN$0.150.24 HUNT_COIN0.02x
Sticker | Clown Wigsticker · #4b69ff$6.8910.85 HUNT_COIN$0.150.23 HUNT_COIN0.02x
Nova | Caged Steel (Field-Tested)weapon · industrial$6.8910.85 HUNT_COIN$0.150.24 HUNT_COIN0.02x
Nova | Caged Steel (Field-Tested)weapon · industrial$6.8910.85 HUNT_COIN$0.150.24 HUNT_COIN0.02x
StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Memorial (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · #4b69ffz30cutie$6.8910.85 HUNT_COIN$0.150.24 HUNT_COIN0.02x
StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Memorial (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · #4b69ff$6.8910.85 HUNT_COIN$0.150.24 HUNT_COIN0.02x
Nova | Caged Steel (Field-Tested)weapon · industrial$6.8910.85 HUNT_COIN$0.150.24 HUNT_COIN0.02x
Nova | Caged Steel (Field-Tested)weapon · industrial$6.8910.85 HUNT_COIN$0.150.24 HUNT_COIN0.02x
Nova | Caged Steel (Field-Tested)weapon · industrialTerracidre$6.8910.85 HUNT_COIN$0.150.24 HUNT_COIN0.02x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 87.38%

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
3 Nov, 04:27 UTC$6.8987.38%12
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedcovert 3.3%covert knife 0.3%other 1.0%restricted 1.0%industrial 60.0%#4b69ff 34.4%best hit $1,051 (152.5x)