20% Purple

A case on Hunt.gg, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Hunt.gg's own item price converted from hunt coin at the rate on the site page.

Price

$18.91

29.79 HUNT_COIN

Advertised RTP

—

no catalog

Observed RTP, 30d

80.48%

550 openings, sample method

Variance

—

needs odds

Tail share

—

needs odds

Below price

—

needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample

7 days

346 openings · below min

30 days

550 openings · below min

since tracking started

550 openings · below min

54.5%89.5%124.5%

Small sample. 550 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.

Windowsthe test per window

Window	Openings	Observed	Dev.	Method
24h	0	—	—	—
7d	346	89.46%±34.5	—	sample
30d	550	80.48%±23.4	—	sample
All	550	80.48%±23.4	—	sample

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogHunt.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.

Values are Hunt.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife | Doppler (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · knife · covert knife$18.9129.79 HUNT_COIN$6791,069 HUNT_COIN35.89x4d

AWP | Lightning Strike (Factory New)weapon · covert$18.9129.79 HUNT_COIN$557877 HUNT_COIN29.45x4d

Latest dropsnewest first

All →

Desert Eagle | Mulberry (Factory New)weapon · Mythical$18.9129.79 HUNT_COIN$40.2963.45 HUNT_COIN2.13x2d

Desert Eagle | Trigger Discipline (Battle-Scarred)weapon · violet$18.9129.79 HUNT_COIN$0.310.49 HUNT_COIN0.02x2d

Desert Eagle | Trigger Discipline (Battle-Scarred)weapon · violetTerracidre$18.9129.79 HUNT_COIN$0.310.49 HUNT_COIN0.02x2d

USP-S | Target Acquired (Factory New)weapon · classified$18.9129.79 HUNT_COIN$182286 HUNT_COIN9.62x3d

Desert Eagle | Trigger Discipline (Battle-Scarred)weapon · violet$18.9129.79 HUNT_COIN$0.310.49 HUNT_COIN0.02x3d

Desert Eagle | Mulberry (Factory New)weapon · Mythical$18.9129.79 HUNT_COIN$40.2963.45 HUNT_COIN2.13x3d

Desert Eagle | Trigger Discipline (Battle-Scarred)weapon · violetTerracidre$18.9129.79 HUNT_COIN$0.310.49 HUNT_COIN0.02x3d

Desert Eagle | Trigger Discipline (Battle-Scarred)weapon · violet$18.9129.79 HUNT_COIN$0.310.49 HUNT_COIN0.02x4d

Desert Eagle | Mulberry (Factory New)weapon · Mythical$18.9129.79 HUNT_COIN$40.2963.45 HUNT_COIN2.13x4d

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

Captured	Price	Advertised	Items

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit $679 (35.89x)