BEST DEAGLE
A case on Hunt.gg (Community), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Hunt.gg's own item price converted from hunt coin at the rate on the site page.
Price
$1.28
2.01 HUNT_COIN
Advertised RTP
87.35%
EV $1.11 from 7 items
Observed RTP, 30d
136.24%
455 openings, odds method
Variance
60.0×
of price², per opening
Tail share
11.0%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
89.0%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values7 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 455 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Desert Eagle | Blaze (Factory New)weapon · rare | 1 in 10,000 | $693 1,091 HUNT_COIN | 6.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| Desert Eagle | Emerald Jörmungandr (Factory New)weapon · restricted | 1 in 10,000 | $453 713 HUNT_COIN | 4.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Golden Koi (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · covert | 1 in 5,000 | $271 427 HUNT_COIN | 4.9% | 1 | 0.1 | — |
| Desert Eagle | Ocean Drive (Minimal Wear)weapon · covert | 1 in 100 | $37.23 58.63 HUNT_COIN | 33.4% | 7 | 4.5 | 1.54× |
| StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Trigger Discipline (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · restricted | 10.0% | $4.43 6.98 HUNT_COIN | 39.8% | 45 | 45.5 | 0.99× |
| Desert Eagle | Corinthian (Field-Tested)weapon · blue | 45.0% | $0.22 0.34 HUNT_COIN | 8.7% | 212 | 204.8 | 1.04× |
| Desert Eagle | Calligraffiti (Well-Worn)weapon · #4b69ff | 44.0% | $0.08 0.12 HUNT_COIN | 3.0% | 190 | 200.0 | 0.95× |
Values are Hunt.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
hunt:api/cases, 11 Nov, 08:06 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Golden Koi (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · covertEyMingh$1.282.01 HUNT_COIN$271427 HUNT_COIN212.2x
Latest dropsnewest first
StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Trigger Discipline (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · restricted$1.282.01 HUNT_COIN$4.436.98 HUNT_COIN3.47x
StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Trigger Discipline (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · restrictedMarius Tutunaru$1.282.01 HUNT_COIN$4.436.98 HUNT_COIN3.47x
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 87.35%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $1.28 | 87.35% | 7 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedrare 0.0%restricted 10.0%covert 1.0%blue 45.0%#4b69ff 44.0%best hit $271 (212.2x)