Price
$0.58
0.92 HUNT_COIN
Advertised RTP
89.41%
EV $0.52 from 3 items
Observed RTP, 30d
92.07%
1,412 openings, odds method
Variance
90.3×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 167
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
99.0%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values3 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 1,412 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sticker | HellRaisers (Holo)sticker | 1 in 167 | $69.44 109 HUNT_COIN | 79.8% | 8 | 8.5 | 0.94× |
| Sticker | Stupid Banana (Foil)sticker · exotic | 1 in 250 | $23.26 36.64 HUNT_COIN | 17.8% | 8 | 5.6 | 1.42× |
| G3SG1 | Desert Storm (Battle-Scarred)weapon · Consumer Grade | 99.0% | $0.01 0.02 HUNT_COIN | 2.4% | 1,396 | 1397.9 | 1.00× |
Values are Hunt.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
hunt:api/cases, 11 Nov, 08:06 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
Latest dropsnewest first
G3SG1 | Desert Storm (Battle-Scarred)weapon · Consumer Grade$0.580.92 HUNT_COIN$0.010.02 HUNT_COIN0.02x
G3SG1 | Desert Storm (Battle-Scarred)weapon · Consumer Grade$0.580.92 HUNT_COIN$0.010.02 HUNT_COIN0.02x
G3SG1 | Desert Storm (Battle-Scarred)weapon · Consumer Grade$0.580.92 HUNT_COIN$0.010.02 HUNT_COIN0.02x
G3SG1 | Desert Storm (Battle-Scarred)weapon · Consumer Grade$0.580.92 HUNT_COIN$0.010.02 HUNT_COIN0.02x
G3SG1 | Desert Storm (Battle-Scarred)weapon · Consumer Grade$0.580.92 HUNT_COIN$0.010.02 HUNT_COIN0.02x
G3SG1 | Desert Storm (Battle-Scarred)weapon · Consumer GradeDiabloPhD$0.580.92 HUNT_COIN$0.010.02 HUNT_COIN0.02x
G3SG1 | Desert Storm (Battle-Scarred)weapon · Consumer Grade$0.580.92 HUNT_COIN$0.010.02 HUNT_COIN0.02x
G3SG1 | Desert Storm (Battle-Scarred)weapon · Consumer Grade$0.580.92 HUNT_COIN$0.010.02 HUNT_COIN0.02x
G3SG1 | Desert Storm (Battle-Scarred)weapon · Consumer Grade$0.580.92 HUNT_COIN$0.010.02 HUNT_COIN0.02x
G3SG1 | Desert Storm (Battle-Scarred)weapon · Consumer Grade$0.580.92 HUNT_COIN$0.010.02 HUNT_COIN0.02x
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 89.41%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $0.58 | 89.41% | 3 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedother 0.6%exotic 0.4%Consumer Grade 99.0%best hit $69.44 (118.9x)