1% Crazy Style
A case on Hunt.gg (Community), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Hunt.gg's own item price converted from hunt coin at the rate on the site page.
Price
$0.81
1.28 HUNT_COIN
Advertised RTP
89.85%
EV $0.73 from 8 items
Observed RTP, 30d
142.89%
939 openings, odds method
Variance
487.7×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 125
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
99.0%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values8 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 939 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★ Sport Gloves | Hedge Maze (Factory New)gloves · extraordinary | 1 in 10,000,000 | $48.6K 76,561 HUNT_COIN | 0.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| ★ Butterfly Knife | Doppler (Minimal Wear)knife · Covert | 1 in 1,000,000 | $4,152 6,540 HUNT_COIN | 0.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| Sticker | HellRaiserssticker | 1 in 100,000 | $556 875 HUNT_COIN | 0.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| AK-47 | Jet Set (Well-Worn)weapon · classified | 1 in 10,000 | $324 510 HUNT_COIN | 4.4% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| StatTrak™ M4A4 | Hellfire (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · classified | 1 in 1,000 | $146 230 HUNT_COIN | 20.0% | 2 | 0.9 | — |
| ★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife | Crimson Web (Factory New)StatTrak · knife · covert | 1 in 145 | $69.44 109 HUNT_COIN | 65.5% | 11 | 6.5 | 1.70× |
| Sticker | Stupid Banana (Foil)sticker · exotic | 1 in 500 | $23.26 36.64 HUNT_COIN | 6.4% | 1 | 1.9 | 0.53× |
| Sticker | Virtus.Pro (Holo)sticker | 99.0% | $0.01 0.02 HUNT_COIN | 1.7% | 925 | 929.6 | 1.00× |
Values are Hunt.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
hunt:api/cases, 10 Nov, 08:05 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
StatTrak™ M4A4 | Hellfire (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · classified$0.811.28 HUNT_COIN$146230 HUNT_COIN179.4x
StatTrak™ M4A4 | Hellfire (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · classified$0.811.28 HUNT_COIN$146230 HUNT_COIN179.4x
★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife | Crimson Web (Factory New)StatTrak · knife · covert$0.811.28 HUNT_COIN$69.44109 HUNT_COIN85.45x
★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife | Crimson Web (Factory New)StatTrak · knife · covertd1sab1ed$0.811.28 HUNT_COIN$69.44109 HUNT_COIN85.45x
★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife | Crimson Web (Factory New)StatTrak · knife · covert$0.811.28 HUNT_COIN$69.44109 HUNT_COIN85.45x
★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife | Crimson Web (Factory New)StatTrak · knife · covert$0.811.28 HUNT_COIN$69.44109 HUNT_COIN85.45x
★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife | Crimson Web (Factory New)StatTrak · knife · covert$0.811.28 HUNT_COIN$69.44109 HUNT_COIN85.45x
★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife | Crimson Web (Factory New)StatTrak · knife · covert$0.811.28 HUNT_COIN$69.44109 HUNT_COIN85.45x
★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife | Crimson Web (Factory New)StatTrak · knife · covertPUTO COCAINA$0.811.28 HUNT_COIN$69.44109 HUNT_COIN85.45x
★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife | Crimson Web (Factory New)StatTrak · knife · covert$0.811.28 HUNT_COIN$69.44109 HUNT_COIN85.45x
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 89.85%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $0.81 | 89.85% | 8 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedextraordinary 0.0%Covert 0.0%other 99.0%classified 0.1%covert 0.7%exotic 0.2%best hit $146 (179.4x)