Price
$5.70
8.98 HUNT_COIN
Advertised RTP
87.32%
EV $4.98 from 7 items
Observed RTP, 30d
90.70%
587 openings, odds method
Variance
45.1×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 100
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
97.3%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values7 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 587 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★ Sport Gloves | Hedge Maze (Factory New)gloves · extraordinary | 1 in 10,000,000 | $48.6K 76,561 HUNT_COIN | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| AK-47 | Jet Set (Well-Worn)weapon · classified | 1 in 100 | $324 510 HUNT_COIN | 65.1% | 7 | 5.9 | 1.19× |
| Sticker | iBUYPOWERsticker | 1 in 500 | $208 328 HUNT_COIN | 8.4% | 1 | 1.2 | 0.85× |
| StatTrak™ AWP | Wildfire (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · covert | 1 in 200 | $109 171 HUNT_COIN | 10.9% | 1 | 2.9 | 0.34× |
| Sticker | Flammable (Foil)sticker · exotic | 1 in 200 | $82.72 130 HUNT_COIN | 8.3% | 2 | 2.9 | 0.68× |
| Sticker | HellRaisers (Holo)sticker | 1 in 200 | $69.44 109 HUNT_COIN | 7.0% | 4 | 2.9 | 1.36× |
| Sticker | OG (Glitter)sticker | 97.3% | $0.01 0.02 HUNT_COIN | 0.2% | 572 | 571.2 | 1.00× |
Values are Hunt.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
hunt:api/cases, 10 Nov, 08:05 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 87.32%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $5.70 | 87.32% | 7 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedextraordinary 0.0%classified 1.0%other 98.0%covert 0.5%exotic 0.5%best hit $324 (56.83x)