Super Juicer v2
A case on Hunt.gg (Community), first seen 4 Nov 2026. Every value is Hunt.gg's own item price converted from hunt coin at the rate on the site page.
Price
$4.36
6.87 HUNT_COIN
Advertised RTP
89.96%
EV $3.92 from 4 items
Observed RTP, 30d
72.22%
498 openings, sample method
Variance
71.5×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 100
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
98.5%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Small sample. 498 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values4 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 498 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★ Sport Gloves | Hedge Maze (Factory New)gloves · extraordinary | 1 in 10,000,000 | $48.6K 76,561 HUNT_COIN | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| AK-47 | Jet Set (Well-Worn)weapon · classified | 1 in 100 | $324 510 HUNT_COIN | 82.6% | 4 | 5.0 | 0.80× |
| Souvenir M4A4 | Radiation Hazard (Minimal Wear)Souvenir · weapon · mil spec | 1 in 200 | $133 210 HUNT_COIN | 17.0% | 2 | 2.5 | 0.80× |
| Sticker | Virtus.prosticker | 98.5% | $0.01 0.02 HUNT_COIN | 0.3% | 492 | 490.5 | 1.00× |
Values are Hunt.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
hunt:api/cases, 10 Nov, 08:05 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 89.96%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9 Nov, 20:05 UTC | $4.36 | 89.96% | 4 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedextraordinary 0.0%classified 1.0%mil spec 0.5%other 98.5%best hit $324 (74.28x)