farm me twin
A case on Hunt.gg (Community), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Hunt.gg's own item price converted from hunt coin at the rate on the site page.
Price
$0.39
0.61 HUNT_COIN
Advertised RTP
87.46%
EV $0.34 from 2 items
Observed RTP, 30d
79.81%
198 openings, odds method
Variance
13.5×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 20
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
95.0%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values2 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 198 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Monkey Business (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · classified | 1 in 20 | $6.53 10.29 HUNT_COIN | 96.4% | 9 | 9.9 | 0.91× |
| Sticker | OG (Glitter)sticker | 95.0% | $0.01 0.02 HUNT_COIN | 3.6% | 189 | 188.1 | 1.00× |
Values are Hunt.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
hunt:api/cases, 11 Nov, 08:06 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 87.46%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $0.39 | 87.46% | 2 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedclassified 5.0%other 95.0%best hit —