gambatracker
Live
Big wins
Ze Zeus$46.84227.6xWild West Gold$1,3001,088xONE Blackjack$2,5012.00xImmersive Roulette$2,7036.00xSalon Privé Blackjack N$19K2.00xRoulette$3,3312.00xRoulette$2,0002.00xWanted Dead or a Wild$232386.6xRip City Boosted$419125.5xBlackjack$1,2552.00x2 Hand Casino Hold'em$2,3991.26xDay Zero Outbreak$2,51150.00xSpeed Baccarat 12$2,3511.95xBlackjack$1,2502.50xLimbo$2,4002.00xRoulette$1,5851.13xMines$1,65335.17xDragon Hatch 2$6,17074.70xOutsourced 2$2,22214.81xJapanese Speed Blackjack J$2,4022.00xJapanese Speed Blackjack J$2,8022.00xSugar Rush Super Scatter$267476.4xSugar Rush 1000$1,6931.21xSalon Privé Blackjack N$19K2.00x

ANCIENT JOKER

A case on Key-Drop, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Key-Drop's own item price.

Price
$131.72
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
84.88%
248 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
47 openings · below min
7 days
238 openings · below min
30 days
248 openings · below min
since tracking started
248 openings · below min
65.5%104.5%143.5%

Small sample. 248 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h47104.46%±38.3—sample
7d23886.80%±18.6—sample
30d24884.88%±17.9—sample
All24884.88%±17.9—sample
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogKey-Drop publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are Key-Drop's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

M4A1-S | Welcome to the Jungle (Field-Tested)weapon · covert$129$1,0197.88x
M4A1-S | Welcome to the Jungle (Field-Tested)weapon · covert$128$9747.60x
M4A1-S | Welcome to the Jungle (Field-Tested)weapon · covert$129$9627.45x
M4A1-S | Welcome to the Jungle (Field-Tested)weapon · covert√Sir Gregor Clegane$130$9567.37x
M4A1-S | Welcome to the Jungle (Field-Tested)weapon · covert$130$9567.37x
M4A1-S | Blue Phosphor (Factory New)weapon · classified$129$6825.29x
M4A1-S | Blue Phosphor (Factory New)weapon · classified0nz$130$6785.23x
M4A1-S | Blue Phosphor (Factory New)weapon · classifiedTrain9$130$6785.23x
M4A1-S | Blue Phosphor (Factory New)weapon · classifiedTrain9$130$6785.23x
M4A1-S | Blue Phosphor (Factory New)weapon · classified$130$6785.23x

Latest dropsnewest first

All Latest drops →
P250 | Undertowweapon · pinkDeath13$129$31.700.25x
M4A4 | 龍王weapon · pinkDeath13$129$20.310.16x
P250 | Undertow (Field-Tested)weapon · ClassifiedDeath13$129$25.760.20x
USP-S | Orion (Minimal Wear)weapon · classified$129$57.560.45x
USP-S | Monster Mashup (Minimal Wear)weapon · classified$129$35.360.27x
AWP | Containment Breach (Field-Tested)weapon · covert$129$70.170.54x
M4A4 | 龍王 (Minimal Wear)weapon · pink$129$27.360.21x
M4A4 | 龍王 (Battle-Scarred)weapon · pink$129$15.220.12x
M4A4 | 龍王 (Well-Worn)weapon · pinkDeath13$129$19.780.15x
Galil AR | Orange DDPAT (Minimal Wear)weapon · violet$129$23.630.18x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit $1,019 (7.88x)