DREAM MEADOWS JOKER
A case on Key-Drop, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Key-Drop's own item price.
Price
$479.26
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
91.52%
845 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
Small sample. 845 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and valuesnone published
No catalogKey-Drop publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are Key-Drop's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.
Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
★ Skeleton Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby)knife · legendary · RubyEL MAGO TROSSARD$475$2,8305.96x
★ Skeleton Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby)knife · legendary · RubyEL MAGO TROSSARD$475$2,8305.96x
★ Skeleton Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby)knife · legendary · Rubynot awp abuser$475$2,8245.94x
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, daily
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedbest hit $2,879 (6.01x)