20/20

A case on Rain.gg, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Rain.gg's own item price converted from Rain coins at the rate on the site page.

Price
$60.53
86.47 coins
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
86.93%
683 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
30 openings · below min
7 days
530 openings · below min
30 days
683 openings · below min
since tracking started
683 openings · below min
53.5%88.0%122.5%

Small sample. 683 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h3088.06%±34.0—sample
7d53089.47%±7.85—sample
30d68386.93%±6.82—sample
All68386.93%±6.82—sample
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogRain.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are Rain.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.

Latest dropsnewest first

AK-47 | Frontside Misty (Field-Tested)weapon · classified$60.5386.47 coins$10.7715.38 coins0.18x
AK-47 | Case Hardened (Battle-Scarred)weapon · classified$60.5386.47 coins$155222 coins2.57x
AK-47 | Frontside Misty (Field-Tested)weapon · classified$60.5386.47 coins$10.7715.38 coins0.18x
M4A4 | Desolate Space (Battle-Scarred)weapon · classified$60.5386.47 coins$3.585.12 coins0.06x
MAC-10 | Case Hardened (Battle-Scarred)weapon · Restricted$60.5386.47 coins$72.07103 coins1.19x
USP-S | Blueprint (Factory New)weapon · mil spec$60.5386.47 coins$25.3536.22 coins0.42x
AK-47 | Case Hardened (Battle-Scarred)weapon · classified$60.5386.47 coins$155222 coins2.57x
MAC-10 | Case Hardened (Battle-Scarred)weapon · Restricted$60.5386.47 coins$72.07103 coins1.19x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit —