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Anchor

A case on Rain.gg, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Rain.gg's own item price converted from Rain coins at the rate on the site page.

Price
$40.27
57.53 coins
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
98.37%
1,451 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
101 openings · below min
7 days
94.27%±19.181,114 openings
30 days
98.37%±17.201,451 openings
since tracking started
98.37%±17.201,451 openings
12.0%64.0%116.0%

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h10143.44%±30.9—sample
7d1,11494.27%±19.2—sample
30d1,45198.37%±17.2—sample
All1,45198.37%±17.2—sample
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogRain.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are Rain.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

★ Hand Wraps | Cobalt Skulls (Factory New)gloves · legendary$40.2757.53 coins$1,5982,283 coins39.69x
Sticker | ESL Wolf (Foil) | Katowice 2014sticker · exotic$40.2757.53 coins$1,3391,912 coins33.24x
Sticker | ESL Wolf (Foil) | Katowice 2014sticker · exotic$40.2757.53 coins$1,3391,912 coins33.24x
M4A1-S | Blue Phosphor (Factory New)weapon · classified$40.2757.53 coins$1,0321,474 coins25.62x
M4A1-S | Blue Phosphor (Factory New)weapon · classified$40.2757.53 coins$1,0321,474 coins25.62x
★ StatTrak™ Navaja Knife | Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Sapphire)StatTrak · knife · covert · Sapphiregriffinzzz$40.2757.53 coins$8841,263 coins21.95x
★ StatTrak™ Navaja Knife | Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Sapphire)StatTrak · knife · covert · SapphireMr.Köster$40.2757.53 coins$8841,263 coins21.95x
★ Huntsman Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire)knife · covert · Sapphire$40.2757.53 coins$7051,008 coins17.52x
★ Huntsman Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire)knife · covert · Sapphire$40.2757.53 coins$7051,008 coins17.52x
★ Gut Knife | Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Sapphire)knife · covert · Sapphire$40.2757.53 coins$537768 coins13.35x

Latest dropsnewest first

All Latest drops →
MP7 | Cirrus (Field-Tested)weapon · Rare$40.2757.53 coins$0.701 coins0.02x
Sticker | DEVIL | MLG Columbus 2016sticker · High Grade$40.2757.53 coins$4.566.52 coins0.11x
Sticker | DEVIL | MLG Columbus 2016sticker · High Grade$40.2757.53 coins$4.566.52 coins0.11x
Sticker | DEVIL | MLG Columbus 2016sticker · High GrademakariBRO$40.2757.53 coins$4.566.52 coins0.11x
MP7 | Cirrus (Field-Tested)weapon · Rare$40.2757.53 coins$0.701 coins0.02x
MP7 | Cirrus (Field-Tested)weapon · Rare$40.2757.53 coins$0.701 coins0.02x
MP7 | Cirrus (Field-Tested)weapon · Rare$40.2757.53 coins$0.701 coins0.02x
Sticker | DEVIL | MLG Columbus 2016sticker · High Grade$40.2757.53 coins$4.566.52 coins0.11x
Sticker | Flash Gaming (Holo) | Boston 2018sticker · remarkable$40.2757.53 coins$87.68125 coins2.18x
MP7 | Cirrus (Field-Tested)weapon · Rare$40.2757.53 coins$0.701 coins0.02x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit $1,598 (39.69x)