Anti-Matter

A case on Rain.gg, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Rain.gg's own item price converted from Rain coins at the rate on the site page.

Price

$588.06

840 coins

Advertised RTP

—

no catalog

Observed RTP, 30d

70.12%

113 openings, sample method

Variance

—

needs odds

Tail share

—

needs odds

Below price

—

needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample

24 hours

14 openings · below min

7 days

64 openings · below min

30 days

113 openings · below min

since tracking started

113 openings · below min

7.5%54.3%101.0%

Small sample. 113 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.

Windowsthe test per window

Window	Openings	Observed	Dev.	Method
24h	14	38.44%±30.4	—	sample
7d	64	40.57%±22.3	—	sample
30d	113	70.12%±30.1	—	sample
All	113	70.12%±30.1	—	sample

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogRain.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.

Values are Rain.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

AK-47 | Wild Lotus (Field-Tested)weapon · covert$588840 coins$6,7869,695 coins11.54x7d

★ Butterfly Knife | Lore (Factory New)knife · covert$588840 coins$4,1825,975 coins7.11x3d

★ Butterfly Knife | Lore (Factory New)knife · covert$588840 coins$4,1825,975 coins7.11x7d

★ Butterfly Knife | Lore (Factory New)knife · covert$588840 coins$4,1825,975 coins7.11x7d

Sticker | Titan | Katowice 2014sticker · high$588840 coins$2,7433,918 coins4.66x7d

M4A1-S | Welcome to the Jungle (Factory New)weapon · legendary$588840 coins$2,1783,112 coins3.70x7d

Souvenir AK-47 | Gold Arabesque (Field-Tested)Souvenir · weapon · #EB4B4B$588840 coins$1,7962,566 coins3.05x7d

Glock-18 | Fade (Factory New)weapon · restrictedjoonXO$588840 coins$1,4122,018 coins2.40x2h

Glock-18 | Fade (Factory New)weapon · restricted$588840 coins$1,4122,018 coins2.40x7d

M4A1-S | Hot Rod (Minimal Wear)weapon · classifiedich hab kleine d$588840 coins$8911,273 coins1.52x5d

Latest dropsnewest first

Souvenir M4A1-S | Master Piece (Field-Tested)Souvenir · weapon · Classified$588840 coins$135193 coins0.23x2h

Souvenir M4A1-S | Master Piece (Field-Tested)Souvenir · weapon · Classified$588840 coins$135193 coins0.23x2h

Souvenir M4A1-S | Master Piece (Field-Tested)Souvenir · weapon · Classified$588840 coins$135193 coins0.23x2h

Souvenir M4A1-S | Master Piece (Field-Tested)Souvenir · weapon · Classified$588840 coins$135193 coins0.23x2h

Souvenir M4A1-S | Master Piece (Field-Tested)Souvenir · weapon · Classified$588840 coins$135193 coins0.23x2h

Glock-18 | Fade (Factory New)weapon · restrictedjoonXO$588840 coins$1,4122,018 coins2.40x2h

Souvenir M4A1-S | Master Piece (Field-Tested)Souvenir · weapon · Classified$588840 coins$135193 coins0.23x14h

Souvenir M4A1-S | Master Piece (Field-Tested)Souvenir · weapon · Classified$588840 coins$135193 coins0.23x14h

Souvenir M4A1-S | Master Piece (Field-Tested)Souvenir · weapon · Classified$588840 coins$135193 coins0.23x14h

Souvenir M4A1-S | Master Piece (Field-Tested)Souvenir · weapon · Classified$588840 coins$135193 coins0.23x14h

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

Captured	Price	Advertised	Items

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit $6,786 (11.54x)