Beast

A case on Rain.gg, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Rain.gg's own item price converted from Rain coins at the rate on the site page.

Price
$52.35
74.79 coins
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
77.74%
2,160 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
183 openings · below min
7 days
83.93%±16.431,704 openings
30 days
77.74%±13.532,160 openings
since tracking started
77.74%±13.532,160 openings
16.5%58.8%101.0%

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h18338.45%±21.1—sample
7d1,70483.93%±16.4—sample
30d2,16077.74%±13.5—sample
All2,16077.74%±13.5—sample
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogRain.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are Rain.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

M4A1-S | Welcome to the Jungle (Factory New)weapon · legendary$52.3574.79 coins$2,2033,147 coins42.08x
M4A1-S | Welcome to the Jungle (Factory New)weapon · legendary$52.3574.79 coins$2,2033,147 coins42.08x
M4A1-S | Welcome to the Jungle (Factory New)weapon · legendary$52.3574.79 coins$2,2033,147 coins42.08x
M4A1-S | Welcome to the Jungle (Factory New)weapon · legendary$52.3574.79 coins$2,2033,147 coins42.08x
★ Karambit | Crimson Web (Minimal Wear)knife · covert$52.3574.79 coins$1,1941,706 coins22.81x
★ Karambit | Crimson Web (Minimal Wear)knife · covert$52.3574.79 coins$1,1941,706 coins22.81x
★ Karambit | Crimson Web (Minimal Wear)knife · covert$52.3574.79 coins$1,1941,706 coins22.81x
★ Karambit | Crimson Web (Minimal Wear)knife · covert$52.3574.79 coins$1,1941,706 coins22.81x

Latest dropsnewest first

Sealed Graffiti | Goofy (Blood Red)graffiti · Base Grade$52.3574.79 coins$0.400.57 coins0.01x
Sealed Graffiti | Goofy (Blood Red)graffiti · Base Grade$52.3574.79 coins$0.400.57 coins0.01x
Sealed Graffiti | Goofy (Blood Red)graffiti · Base Grade$52.3574.79 coins$0.400.57 coins0.01x
Sealed Graffiti | Goofy (Blood Red)graffiti · Base Grade$52.3574.79 coins$0.400.57 coins0.01x
Sealed Graffiti | Goofy (Blood Red)graffiti · Base Grade$52.3574.79 coins$0.400.57 coins0.01x
Desert Eagle | Crimson Web (Minimal Wear)weapon · restricted$52.3574.79 coins$23.9734.24 coins0.46x
Desert Eagle | Crimson Web (Minimal Wear)weapon · restricted$52.3574.79 coins$23.9734.24 coins0.46x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit $2,203 (42.08x)