Biba v2

A case on Rain.gg, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Rain.gg's own item price converted from Rain coins at the rate on the site page.

Price
$101.83
145 coins
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
82.66%
3,487 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
752 openings · below min
7 days
83.93%±14.662,990 openings
30 days
82.66%±13.253,487 openings
since tracking started
82.66%±13.253,487 openings
61.0%80.0%99.0%

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h75279.18%±17.6—sample
7d2,99083.93%±14.7—sample
30d3,48782.66%±13.3—sample
All3,48782.66%±13.3—sample
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogRain.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are Rain.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

AWP | Dragon Lore (Field-Tested)weapon · covert$102145 coins$5,8078,295 coins57.02x
M4A1-S | Knight (Minimal Wear)weapon · classified$102145 coins$2,6623,803 coins26.14x
M4A1-S | Knight (Minimal Wear)weapon · classified$102145 coins$2,6623,803 coins26.14x
M4A1-S | Knight (Minimal Wear)weapon · classified$102145 coins$2,6623,803 coins26.14x

Latest dropsnewest first

Sticker | Liquid Fire (Holo)sticker · remarkable$102145 coins$22.8532.64 coins0.22x
Sticker | Liquid Fire (Holo)sticker · remarkable$102145 coins$22.8532.64 coins0.22x
Sticker | Liquid Fire (Holo)sticker · remarkable$102145 coins$22.8532.64 coins0.22x
Gamma Doppler Emeraldother · Covert$102145 coins$151215 coins1.48x
Sticker | Liquid Fire (Holo)sticker · remarkable$102145 coins$22.8532.64 coins0.22x
Sticker | Liquid Fire (Holo)sticker · remarkable$102145 coins$22.8532.64 coins0.22x
Sticker | Liquid Fire (Holo)sticker · remarkable$102145 coins$22.8532.64 coins0.22x
Sticker | Liquid Fire (Holo)sticker · remarkable$102145 coins$22.8532.64 coins0.22x
Sticker | Liquid Fire (Holo)sticker · remarkable$102145 coins$22.8532.64 coins0.22x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit $10K (98.67x)