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Big Balls

A case on Rain.gg, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Rain.gg's own item price converted from Rain coins at the rate on the site page.

Price
$70.05
100 coins
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
91.69%
11.1K openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
96.27%±13.562,398 openings
7 days
89.15%±6.579,069 openings
30 days
91.69%±6.0711.1K openings
since tracking started
91.69%±6.0711.1K openings
82.0%96.2%110.5%

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h2,39896.27%±13.6—sample
7d9,06989.15%±6.57—sample
30d11.1K91.69%±6.07—sample
All11.1K91.69%±6.07—sample
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogRain.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are Rain.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

AWP | Dragon Lore (Battle-Scarred)weapon · covert$70.05100 coins$3,7815,402 coins53.98x
M4A4 | Howl (Field-Tested)weapon · contraband$70.05100 coins$3,2524,646 coins46.43x
★ Karambit | Lore (Factory New)knife · covert[BOT] Slogirani Zoran$70.05100 coins$1,8762,681 coins26.79x
★ Karambit | Lore (Factory New)knife · covert$70.05100 coins$1,8762,681 coins26.79x
★ Karambit | Lore (Factory New)knife · covert$70.05100 coins$1,8762,681 coins26.79x
★ Karambit | Lore (Factory New)knife · covert$70.05100 coins$1,8762,681 coins26.79x
★ Karambit | Lore (Factory New)knife · covertCeontea$70.05100 coins$1,8762,681 coins26.79x
★ Karambit | Lore (Factory New)knife · covert$70.05100 coins$1,8762,681 coins26.79x
★ Karambit | Lore (Factory New)knife · covertminion__$70.05100 coins$1,8762,681 coins26.79x
★ Karambit | Lore (Factory New)knife · covert$70.05100 coins$1,8762,681 coins26.79x

Latest dropsnewest first

All Latest drops →
Nova | Sand Dune (Minimal Wear)weapon · consumer$70.05100 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x
Nova | Sand Dune (Minimal Wear)weapon · consumer$70.05100 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x
Nova | Sand Dune (Minimal Wear)weapon · consumer$70.05100 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x
Nova | Sand Dune (Minimal Wear)weapon · consumer$70.05100 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x
Nova | Sand Dune (Minimal Wear)weapon · consumer$70.05100 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x
Nova | Sand Dune (Minimal Wear)weapon · consumer$70.05100 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x
Nova | Sand Dune (Minimal Wear)weapon · consumer$70.05100 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x
Nova | Sand Dune (Minimal Wear)weapon · consumerCeontea$70.05100 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x
Nova | Sand Dune (Minimal Wear)weapon · consumer$70.05100 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x
Nova | Sand Dune (Minimal Wear)weapon · consumer$70.05100 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit $3,781 (53.98x)