Birb

A case on Rain.gg, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Rain.gg's own item price converted from Rain coins at the rate on the site page.

Price
$54.06
77.23 coins
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
78.03%
1,982 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
149 openings · below min
7 days
80.92%±13.691,565 openings
30 days
78.03%±11.741,982 openings
since tracking started
78.03%±11.741,982 openings
26.5%72.0%117.5%

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h14971.91%±45.0—sample
7d1,56580.92%±13.7—sample
30d1,98278.03%±11.7—sample
All1,98278.03%±11.7—sample
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogRain.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are Rain.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Lore (Factory New)StatTrak · knife · covert$54.0677.23 coins$1,9492,785 coins36.05x
★ M9 Bayonet | Marble Fade (Factory New)knife · covert$54.0677.23 coins$1,2731,818 coins23.54x
★ M9 Bayonet | Marble Fade (Factory New)knife · covert$54.0677.23 coins$1,2731,818 coins23.54x
★ M9 Bayonet | Marble Fade (Factory New)knife · covertSmabu$54.0677.23 coins$1,2731,818 coins23.54x
★ M9 Bayonet | Marble Fade (Factory New)knife · covert$54.0677.23 coins$1,2731,818 coins23.54x
★ M9 Bayonet | Marble Fade (Factory New)knife · covert$54.0677.23 coins$1,2731,818 coins23.54x
★ M9 Bayonet | Marble Fade (Factory New)knife · covert$54.0677.23 coins$1,2731,818 coins23.54x
★ M9 Bayonet | Marble Fade (Factory New)knife · covert$54.0677.23 coins$1,2731,818 coins23.54x
M4A4 | Poseidon (Minimal Wear)weapon · classified$54.0677.23 coins$7911,130 coins14.63x
M4A4 | Poseidon (Minimal Wear)weapon · classified$54.0677.23 coins$7911,130 coins14.63x

Latest dropsnewest first

Sticker | Boomsticker · Rare$54.0677.23 coins$0.170.24 coins0.00x
Sticker | Boomsticker · Rare$54.0677.23 coins$0.170.24 coins0.00x
Sticker | Boomsticker · Rare$54.0677.23 coins$0.170.24 coins0.00x
Sticker | Boomsticker · Rare$54.0677.23 coins$0.170.24 coins0.00x
Sticker | Baby Medusasticker · high$54.0677.23 coins$0.640.92 coins0.01x
Sticker | Boomsticker · RareFybZ$54.0677.23 coins$0.170.24 coins0.00x
P90 | Cold Blooded (Factory New)weapon · classified$54.0677.23 coins$50.6872.4 coins0.94x
Sticker | Boomsticker · Rare$54.0677.23 coins$0.170.24 coins0.00x
Sticker | Boomsticker · Rare$54.0677.23 coins$0.170.24 coins0.00x
Sticker | Boomsticker · Rare$54.0677.23 coins$0.170.24 coins0.00x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit $1,949 (36.05x)