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Birb v2

A case on Rain.gg, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Rain.gg's own item price converted from Rain coins at the rate on the site page.

Price
$39.33
56.18 coins
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
99.34%
7,993 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
479 openings · below min
7 days
100.89%±15.196,129 openings
30 days
99.34%±13.067,993 openings
since tracking started
99.34%±13.067,993 openings
49.5%83.0%116.5%

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h47966.51%±16.6—sample
7d6,129100.89%±15.2—sample
30d7,99399.34%±13.1—sample
All7,99399.34%±13.1—sample
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogRain.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are Rain.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Ruby)StatTrak · knife · covert · Ruby$39.3356.18 coins$7,83111,188 coins199.1x
★ M9 Bayonet | Crimson Web (Factory New)knife · covert$39.3356.18 coins$5,9278,467 coins150.7x
★ M9 Bayonet | Crimson Web (Factory New)knife · covert$39.3356.18 coins$5,9278,467 coins150.7x
AK-47 | Wild Lotus (Well-Worn)weapon · covertPk - Mantra$39.3356.18 coins$5,4727,817 coins139.1x
Sticker | Virtus.Pro (Holo) | Katowice 2014sticker · legendaryjack.com$39.3356.18 coins$4,8106,872 coins122.3x
Sticker | Virtus.Pro (Holo) | Katowice 2014sticker · legendary$39.3356.18 coins$4,8106,872 coins122.3x
Sticker | Virtus.Pro (Holo) | Katowice 2014sticker · legendary$39.3356.18 coins$4,8106,872 coins122.3x
Sticker | Virtus.Pro (Holo) | Katowice 2014sticker · legendary$39.3356.18 coins$4,8106,872 coins122.3x
M4A4 | Howl (Well-Worn)weapon · contraband$39.3356.18 coins$3,8595,513 coins98.13x
M4A4 | Howl (Well-Worn)weapon · contrabandTIMOSCHUCK$39.3356.18 coins$3,8595,513 coins98.13x

Latest dropsnewest first

All Latest drops →
Sticker | Boomsticker · Rare$39.3356.18 coins$0.190.27 coins0.00x
Desert Eagle | Golden Koi (Factory New)weapon · covert$39.3356.18 coins$107153 coins2.72x
Sticker | Baby Medusasticker · high$39.3356.18 coins$0.570.82 coins0.01x
Sticker | Boomsticker · Rare$39.3356.18 coins$0.190.27 coins0.00x
Sticker | Boomsticker · Rare$39.3356.18 coins$0.190.27 coins0.00x
Sticker | Boomsticker · RareGeld$39.3356.18 coins$0.190.27 coins0.00x
P250 | Nuclear Threat (Minimal Wear)weapon · restricted$39.3356.18 coins$62.1288.74 coins1.58x
Sticker | Baby Medusasticker · high$39.3356.18 coins$0.570.82 coins0.01x
Sticker | Baby Medusasticker · high$39.3356.18 coins$0.570.82 coins0.01x
Sticker | Baby Medusasticker · high$39.3356.18 coins$0.570.82 coins0.01x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit $7,831 (199.1x)