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Day Zero Outbreak$53.2K10.63xDice$11.4K1.52xDice$22.9K1.52xBlackjack$1,6002.00xPrive Lounge Blackjack 8$2,0002.00xRoulette Live$7,2005.54xRoulette$4,6801.00xDice$5,7201.52xTrue Grit Redemption 2$403100.4xDice$5,7201.52xDice$5,7201.52xDice$2,8601.52xMoonlight Princess$1,504150.2xSweet Bonanza 1000$2,13185.16xGates of Olympus 2500$1,41428.29xDice$2,8601.52xCoin Project 2$2,21852.56xCursed Kitchen$2,1929.84xSleeping Dragon$83.55149.0xDice$2,8601.52xRoulette$2,3261.50xCleocatra$67.00167.5xHigh Elf$2,1452,143xWild Bounty Showdown$1,18023.60x

Birthday

A case on Rain.gg, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Rain.gg's own item price converted from Rain coins at the rate on the site page.

Price
$0.70
1 coins
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
84.28%
119K openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
105.62%±26.3822.6K openings
7 days
83.61%±10.9397.6K openings
30 days
84.28%±9.83119K openings
since tracking started
84.28%±9.83119K openings
72.0%102.3%132.5%

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h22.6K105.62%±26.4—sample
7d97.6K83.61%±10.9—sample
30d119K84.28%±9.83—sample
All119K84.28%±9.83—sample
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogRain.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are Rain.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

★ Bayonet | Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 4)knife · covert · Phase 4$0.701 coins$7011,002 coins1,002x
★ Bayonet | Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 4)knife · covert · Phase 4$0.701 coins$7011,002 coins1,002x
★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 3)StatTrak · knife · Covert · Phase 3$0.701 coins$621888 coins887.7x
★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 3)StatTrak · knife · Covert · Phase 3$0.701 coins$621888 coins887.7x
★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 3)StatTrak · knife · Covert · Phase 3$0.701 coins$621888 coins887.7x
★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 3)StatTrak · knife · Covert · Phase 3Licht Bach$0.701 coins$621888 coins887.7x
★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 3)StatTrak · knife · Covert · Phase 3$0.701 coins$621888 coins887.7x
★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 3)StatTrak · knife · Covert · Phase 3$0.701 coins$621888 coins887.7x
★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 3)StatTrak · knife · Covert · Phase 3$0.701 coins$621888 coins887.7x
★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 3)StatTrak · knife · Covert · Phase 3$0.701 coins$621888 coins887.7x

Latest dropsnewest first

All Latest drops →
Sticker | rain | Paris 2023sticker · High Grade$0.701 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.01x
Sticker | rain | Paris 2023sticker · High Grade$0.701 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.01x
Sticker | rain | Paris 2023sticker · High Grade$0.701 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.01x
Sticker | rain | Paris 2023sticker · High Grade$0.701 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.01x
Sticker | rain | Paris 2023sticker · High Grade$0.701 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.01x
Sticker | rain | Paris 2023sticker · High Grade$0.701 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.01x
Sticker | rain | Paris 2023sticker · High Gradeaklestadvolle$0.701 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.01x
Sticker | rain | Paris 2023sticker · High GradeWeej$0.701 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.01x
Sticker | rain | Paris 2023sticker · High Grade$0.701 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.01x
Sticker | rain | Paris 2023sticker · High Grade$0.701 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.01x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit $701 (1,002x)