Blood Moon

A case on Rain.gg, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Rain.gg's own item price converted from Rain coins at the rate on the site page.

Price
$43.03
61.47 coins
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
104.69%
1,057 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
104 openings · below min
7 days
878 openings · below min
30 days
104.69%±19.661,057 openings
since tracking started
104.69%±19.661,057 openings
47.5%111.3%175.0%

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h104111.26%±63.1—sample
7d87896.93%±20.4—sample
30d1,057104.69%±19.7—sample
All1,057104.69%±19.7—sample
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogRain.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are Rain.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

Latest dropsnewest first

SCAR-20 | Bloodsport (Minimal Wear)weapon · classified$43.0361.47 coins$4.236.05 coins0.10x
CZ75-Auto | Red Astor (Field-Tested)weapon · restricted$43.0361.47 coins$0.320.45 coins0.01x
M4A4 | Evil Daimyo (Minimal Wear)weapon · restricted$43.0361.47 coins$2.022.88 coins0.05x
CZ75-Auto | Red Astor (Field-Tested)weapon · restricted$43.0361.47 coins$0.320.45 coins0.01x
SCAR-20 | Bloodsport (Minimal Wear)weapon · classified$43.0361.47 coins$4.236.05 coins0.10x
M4A4 | Evil Daimyo (Minimal Wear)weapon · restricted$43.0361.47 coins$2.022.88 coins0.05x
M4A4 | Evil Daimyo (Minimal Wear)weapon · restricted$43.0361.47 coins$2.022.88 coins0.05x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit $915 (21.26x)