Bonsai
A case on Rain.gg, first seen 6 Nov 2026. Every value is Rain.gg's own item price converted from Rain coins at the rate on the site page.
Price
$1,912.39
2,732 coins
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
66.63%
12 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
Small sample. 12 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and valuesnone published
No catalogRain.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are Rain.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.
Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
★ Specialist Gloves | Emerald Web (Minimal Wear)gloves · extraordinary$1,9122,732 coins$3,7245,320 coins1.95x
★ Butterfly Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 3)knife · covert · Phase 3$1,9122,732 coins$3,0214,316 coins1.58x
★ Flip Knife | Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Emerald)knife · covert · EmeraldTEEBEECS$1,9122,732 coins$2,3613,372 coins1.23x
★ StatTrak™ Gut Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald)StatTrak · knife · covert · Emerald$1,9122,732 coins$631901 coins0.33x
Desert Eagle | Emerald Jörmungandr (Field-Tested)weapon · restricted$1,9122,732 coins$534763 coins0.28x
Latest dropsnewest first
★ Specialist Gloves | Emerald Web (Minimal Wear)gloves · extraordinary$1,9122,732 coins$3,7245,320 coins1.95x
StatTrak™ AWP | Containment Breach (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · red$1,9122,732 coins$146209 coins0.08x
Desert Eagle | Emerald Jörmungandr (Field-Tested)weapon · restricted$1,9122,732 coins$534763 coins0.28x
★ Flip Knife | Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Emerald)knife · covert · EmeraldTEEBEECS$1,9122,732 coins$2,3613,372 coins1.23x
★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 2)StatTrak · knife · covert · Phase 2$1,9122,732 coins$351502 coins0.18x
★ Butterfly Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 3)knife · covert · Phase 3$1,9122,732 coins$3,0214,316 coins1.58x
★ StatTrak™ Gut Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald)StatTrak · knife · covert · Emerald$1,9122,732 coins$631901 coins0.33x
StatTrak™ AWP | Containment Breach (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · red$1,9122,732 coins$146209 coins0.08x
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, daily
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedbest hit $3,724 (1.95x)